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Forecasting with real-time macroeconomic data: the ragged-edge problem and revisions

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Author Info
Bouwman, Kees E.
Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. (Groningen University)

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Abstract

Real-time macroeconomic data are typically incomplete for today and the immediate past (?ragged edge?) and subject to revision. To enable more timely forecasts the recent missing data have to be dealt with. In the context of the U.S. leading index we assess four alternatives,paying explicit attention to publication lags and data revisions.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research in its series CCSO Working Papers with number 200505.

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Date of creation: 2005
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:rugccs:200505

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  1. Jan Jacobs & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2007. "A real-time analysis of the Swiss trade account," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 167, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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