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The impact of newspapers on consumer confidence: does spin bias exist?

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Author Info
Alsem, Karel-Jan
Brakman, Steven
Hoogduin, Lex
Kuper, Gerard (Groningen University)

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Abstract

Mullainathan and Shleifer (2002) argue that there are two types of media bias. One bias, called ideology, reflects a news outlet\'s desire to affect reader opinions in a particular direction. The second bias, referred to as spin, reflects the outlet\'s attempt to simply create a memorable story. Competition between outlets can eliminate the effect of ideological bias, but increases the incentive to spin stories. We examine whether spin exists in Dutch newspaper reporting on the state of the economy. If so, we assume that in their reports on the state of the economy newspapers exaggerate. Consumers reading such reports may be influenced by these reports. As a result consumer confidence may be affected not only by economic fundamentals, but also by the way they are reported. We construct a variable that reflects the way consumers perceive economic news reported in newspapers. We find that this variable indeed has a significant, but small, impact on consumer confidence, which is short-lived.

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Paper provided by University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research in its series CCSO Working Papers with number 200410.

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Date of creation: 2004
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:rugccs:200410

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2004. "Consumer Confidence and Consumer Spending," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(2), pages 29-50, Spring. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Sendhil Mullainathan & Andrei Shleifer, 2002. "Media Bias," NBER Working Papers 9295, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Jansen, W. Jos & Nahuis, Niek J., 2003. "The stock market and consumer confidence: European evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(1), pages 89-98, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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