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Emigration Intentions: Mere Words or True Plans? Explaining International Migration Intentions and Behavior

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Author Info

  • Dalen, H.P. van
  • Henkens, K.

    (Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research)

Abstract

Do people follow up on their intentions? In this paper we confront the emigration intentions formed by inhabitants of the Netherlands during the year 2004-2005 and the emigration steps they took in the subsequent two years. Three results stand out. First, it appears that intentions are good predictors of future emigration: 24 percent of those who had stated an intention to emigrate have actually emigrated within two years time. Second, within the group of potential emigrants, those who have emigrated and those who have not yet emigrated, do not differ much from each other. The potential emigrants who have not yet emigrated are in poorer health. Third, the forces that trigger emigration intentions are also the same forces that make people actually move.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research in its series Discussion Paper with number 2008-60.

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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:kubcen:200860

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Web page: http://center.uvt.nl

Related research

Keywords: emigration; intentions; behavior; public domain;

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References

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Dimova, Ralitza & Wolff, François-Charles, 2009. "Remittances and Chain Migration: Longitudinal Evidence from Bosnia and Herzegovina," IZA Discussion Papers 4083, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  2. Guido Friebel & Juan Gallego & Mariapia Mendola, 2013. "Xenophobic attacks, migration intentions, and networks: evidence from the South of Africa," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 555-591, April.
  3. Klaus Nowotny, 2010. "Risk Aversion, Time Preference and Cross-border Commuting and Migration Intentions," WIFO Working Papers 379, WIFO.
  4. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-00689467 is not listed on IDEAS
  5. Michael Landesmann & Isilda Mara, 2013. "The Steadiness of Migration Plans and Expected Length of Stay – Based on a Recent Survey of Romanian Migrants in Italy," wiiw Working Papers 104, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
  6. Artjoms Ivlevs & Roswitha M. King, . "Kosovo - Winning Its Independence but Losing Its People? Recent Evidence on Emigration Intentions," Discussion Papers 09/17, University of Nottingham, GEP.
  7. Isabelle Chort, 2012. "New insights into the selection process of Mexican migrants.What can we learn from discrepancies between intentions to migrate and actual moves to the U.S.?," PSE Working Papers halshs-00689467, HAL.
  8. Artjoms Ivlevs & Roswitha King, 2012. "Family Migration Capital and Migration Intentions," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 118-129, March.
  9. Artjoms Ivlevs & Roswitha M. King, . "Intergenerational Transmission of “Migration Capital” and the Decision to Emigrate," Discussion Papers 08/26, University of Nottingham, GEP.

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