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Finding the Important Factors in Large Discrete-Event Simulation: Sequential Bifurcation and its Applications

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Author Info

  • Kleijnen, J.P.C.
  • Bettonvil, B.W.M.
  • Persson, F.

    (Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research)

Abstract

This contribution discusses experiments with many factors: the case study includes a simulation model with 92 factors.The experiments are guided by sequential bifurcation.This method is most efficient and effective if the true input/output behavior of the simulation model can be approximated through a first-order polynomial possibly augmented with two-factor interactions.The method is explained and illustrated through three related discrete-event simulation models.These models represent three supply chain configurations, studied for an Ericsson factory in Sweden.After simulating 21 scenarios (factor combinations) each replicated five times to account for noise a shortlist with the 11 most important factors is identified for the biggest of the three simulation models.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research in its series Discussion Paper with number 2003-104.

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Date of creation: 2003
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:kubcen:2003104

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Web page: http://center.uvt.nl

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Keywords: simulation; bifurcation; supply; Sweden;

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