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On the independence and identical distribution of points in tennis

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Author Info
Klaassen, F.J.G.M.
Magnus, J.R. (Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research)

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Abstract

This article presents a study of the (conditional) probability of winning a point on service, based on almost 90,000 points played at Wimbledon, 1992-1995. We show that points are neither independent nor identically distributed, and we present an extended logit model that captures the dependence and non-identical distribution. Many well-known tennis hypotheses are tested; most are refuted.

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Paper provided by Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research in its series Discussion Paper with number 53.

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Date of creation: 1998
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:kubcen:199853

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  1. Jan R. Magnus, Franc J. G. M. Klaassen, 1999. "The final set in a tennis match: four years at Wimbledon," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 26(4), pages 461-468, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Frederic Palomino & Luca Rigotti & Aldo Rustichini, 2000. "Skill, Strategy, and Passion: an Empirical Analysis of Soccer," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1822, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Jan R. Magnus, Franc J. G. M. Klaassen, 1999. "The final set in a tennis match: four years at Wimbledon," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 26(4), pages 461-468, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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