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Supervision and Performance : The Case of World Bank Projects

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Author Info
Kilby, C. (Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research)

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Abstract

This paper explores empirical aspects of the relation between supervision and project performance. I focus on development projects funded by the World Bank and on supervision done by the World Bank. The World Bank is the preeminent international development organization both in terms of money lent and leadership; furthermore, data measuring project performance and supervision are relatively comprehensive. The link between supervision and performance is of theoretical interest because it illuminates one side of World Bank-borrower interaction and of practical interest because supervision is an instrument controlled by the World Bank which may improve project performance. Data are from 1426 World Bank-funded projects completed between 1981 and 1991. Analysis of the influence of World Bank supervision on project performance uses annual supervision and annual interim performance ratings. The annual updating process which generates the discrete interim ratings is described by an ordered probit likelihood function. Maximum likelihood estimates indicate a positive impact of early supervision on performance; late supervision has significantly less influence. The estimation predicts that a significant and persistent increase in the level of supervision may lead to a gain of several percentage points in the economic rate of return. Because of the size of World Bank-funded projects, the potential gains from increasing supervision far outweigh the costs.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research in its series Discussion Paper with number 45.

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Date of creation: 1995
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:kubcen:199545

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Web page: http://center.uvt.nl

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Related research
Keywords: Development Projects;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Kilby, Christopher, 1995. "World Bank Borrower Relations and Project Supervision," Vassar College Department of Economics Working Paper Series 32, Vassar College Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Gourieroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Renault, Eric & Trognon, Alain, 1987. "Simulated residuals," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1-2), pages 201-252. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Sumon Kumar Bhaumik, 2005. "Does the World Bank have any impact on human development of the poorest countries? Some preliminary evidence from Africa," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp784, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Stephen M. Ross Business School. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Fleck, Robert K. & Kilby, Christopher & Fleck, Robert K., 2001. "World Bank Independence: A Model and Statistical Analysis of U.S. Influence," Vassar College Department of Economics Working Paper Series 53, Vassar College Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Michaelowa, Katharina & Borrmann, Axel, 2005. "What Determines Evaluation Outcomes? - Evidence from Bi- and Multilateral Development Cooperation -," Discussion Paper Series 26176, Hamburg Institute of International Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Hans-Rimbert Hemmer & Andreas Lorenz, 2003. "What determines the success or failure of german bilateral financial aid?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 139(3), pages 507-549, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Wane, Waly, 2004. "The quality of foreign aid : country selectivity or donors incentives?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3325, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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