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Local Parametric Analysis of Hedging in Discrete Time

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Author Info
Bossaerts, P.
Hillion, P. (Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research)

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Abstract

When continuous-time portfolio weights are applied to a discrete-time hedging problem, errors are likely to occur. This paper evaluates the overall importance of the discretization-induced tracking error. It does so by comparing the performance of Black-Scholes hedge ratios against those obtained from a novel estimation procedure, namely local parametric estimation. In the latter, the weights of the duplicating portfolio are estimated by fitting parametric models (in this paper, Black-Scholes) in the neighborhood of the derivative's moneyness and maturity. Local parametric estimation directly incorporates the error from hedging in discrete time. Results are shown where the root mean square tracking error is reduced up to 41% for short-maturity options. The performance can still be improved by combining locally estimated hedge portfolio weights with standard analysis based on historically estimated parameters. The root mean square tracking error is thereby reduced by about 18% for long-maturity options. Plots of the locally estimated volatility parameter against moneyness and maturity reveal the biases of the Black-Scholes model when hedging in discrete time. In particular, there is a sharp ``smile'' effect in the relation between estimated volatility and moneyness for short-maturity options, as well as a significant ``wave'' effect in the relation with maturity for deep out-of-the-money options.

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Paper provided by Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research in its series Discussion Paper with number 23.

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Date of creation: 1995
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:kubcen:199523

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Rubinstein, Mark, 1994. " Implied Binomial Trees," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(3), pages 771-818, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Yacine Ait-Sahalia, 1995. "Testing Continuous-Time Models of the Spot Interest Rate," NBER Working Papers 5346, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Rubinstein, Mark, 1984. " A Simple Formula for the Expected Rate of Return of an Option over a Finite Holding Period," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(5), pages 1503-09, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Pedro Gozalo & Oliver Linton, 1994. "Local Nonlinear Least Squares Estimation: Using Parametric Information Nonparametrically," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1075, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  6. Gouriéroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Tenreiro, Carlos, 1994. "Kernel m-estimators : non parametric diagnostics for structural models," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 9405, CEPREMAP.
  7. Hutchinson, James M & Lo, Andrew W & Poggio, Tomaso, 1994. " A Nonparametric Approach to Pricing and Hedging Derivative Securities via Learning Networks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(3), pages 851-89, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Gourieroux, C & Monfort, A & Renault, E, 1993. "Indirect Inference," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(S), pages S85-118, Suppl. De. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-54, May-June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Mark Rubinstein., 1994. "Implied Binomial Trees," Research Program in Finance Working Papers RPF-232, University of California at Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
  11. P. Bossaerts & C. Hafner & W. H"Ardle, . "Foreign Exchange Rates Have Surprising Volatility," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1996-68, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
  12. P. Bossaerts & W. H"Ardle & C. Hafner, . "A New Method for Volatility Estimation with Applications in Foreign Exchange Rate Series," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1995-45, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Fahlenbrach, Rudiger & Sandas, Patrik, 2005. "Co-movements of Index Options and Futures Quotes," Working Paper Series 2006-2, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Éric Jacquier & Robert Jarrow, 1996. "Model Error in Contingent Claim Models Dynamic Evaluation," CIRANO Working Papers 96s-12, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Fahlenbrach, Rudiger & Sandas, Patrik, 2005. "Market Frictions and Seemingly Anomalous Co-movements of Index Options and Index Futures Quotes," Working Paper Series 2005-10, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. João Amaro De Matos & Paula Antão, 2003. "Market illiquidity and bounds on European option prices," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 475-498, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. P. Bossaerts & C. Hafner & W. H"Ardle, . "Foreign Exchange Rates Have Surprising Volatility," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1996-68, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
  6. Eric Ghysels & Andrew Harvey & Éric Renault, 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-49, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Bernard Dumas & Jeff Fleming & Robert E. Whaley, 1996. "Implied Volatility Functions: Empirical Tests," NBER Working Papers 5500, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. René Garcia & Éric Renault, 1998. "Risk Aversion, Intertemporal Substitution, and Option Pricing," CIRANO Working Papers 98s-02, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
  9. Eric Ghysels & Valentin Patilea & Éric Renault & Olivier Torrès, 1997. "Nonparametric Methods and Option Pricing," CIRANO Working Papers 97s-19, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
  10. Matos, Joao Amaro de & Antao, Paula, 2000. "Market Illiquidity and the Bid-Ask Spread of Derivatives," FEUNL Working Paper Series wp386, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Economia. [Downloadable!]
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