This file is part of IDEAS, which uses RePEc data


[ Papers | Articles | Software | Books | Chapters | Authors | Institutions | JEL Classification | NEP reports | Search | New papers by email | Author registration | Rankings | Volunteers | FAQ | Blog | Help! ]

Modeling Generational Transitions from Aggregate Data

Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics
Author Info
Franses, Ph.H.B.F.
Stremersch, S. (Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), RSM Erasmus University)

Additional information is available for the following registered author(s):

Abstract

Using only aggregate sales data, the model we propose decomposes the diffusion processes of the respective technological generations and tests if different technological generations have different diffusion parameters. It also estimates the location of the generational transition from the old to the new technology. We develop a routine to test whether the maturation point of the old generation occurs before or after the transition to a new technological generation. Finally, we show that, when the aggregate sales data are generated by multiple technological generations, our model does better in forecasting than a single-regime Bass model.

Download Info
To download:

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. Information about this may be contained in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1765/199
File Format: application/pdf
File Function:
Download Restriction: no

Publisher Info
Paper provided by Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam. in its series Research Paper with number ERS-2002-49-MKT Revision_Date: 2009-11-06.

Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Length:
Date of creation: 16 May 2002
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:dgr:eureri:2002196

Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.erim.eur.nl/

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (ERIM Series Handler at the ERIM Office).

Related research
Keywords: technological generations; regime-switching models; diffusion modeling;

Other versions of this item:

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. P.H. Franses, 2002. "On the diffusion of scientific publications; the case of Econometrica 1987," Econometric Institute Report 268, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
  2. Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2002. "On the diffusion of scientific publications; the case of Econometrica 1987," Econometric Institute Report EI 2002-16 Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
Full references

Statistics
Access and download statistics

Did you know? IDEAS is also providing many rankings, for example of authors and institutions.

This page was last updated on 2009-12-16.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics.