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Impulse-response analysis of the market share attraction model

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Author Info
D. Fok ()
P.H.B.F. Franses () (FEW-Econometrie en besliskunde)

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Abstract

We propose a simulation-based technique to calculate impulse-response functions and their confidence intervals in a market share attraction model [MCI]. As an MCI model implies a reduced form model for the logs of relative market shares, simulation techniques have to be used to obtain the impulse-responses for the levels of the market shares. We apply the technique to an MCI model for a five-brand detergent market. We illustrate how impulse-response functions can help to interpret the estimated model. In particular, the competitive and dynamic structure of the model can be analyzed.

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File URL: http://www.eur.nl/WebDOC/doc/econometrie/feweco19991222153344.pdf
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Paper provided by Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute in its series Econometric Institute Report with number 178.

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Date of creation: 1999
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:eureir:1999178

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Keywords: market share forecasting;

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  1. Brodie, Roderick J. & De Kluyver, Cornelis A., 1987. "A comparison of the short term forecasting accuracy of econometric and naive extrapolation models of market share," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 3(3-4), pages 423-437. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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