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Seasonality on non-linear price effects in scanner-data based market-response models

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Author Info
Fok, D.
Franses, Ph.H.B.F. (Erasmus Econometric Institute)

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Abstract

Scanner data for fast moving consumer goods typically amount to panels of time series where both N and T are large. To reduce the number of parameters and to shrink parameters towards plausible and interpretable values, multi-level models turn out to be useful. Such models contain in the second level a stochastic model to describe the parameters in the first level. In this paper we propose such a model for weekly scanner data where we explicitly address (i) weekly seasonality in a limited number of yearly data and (ii) non-linear price effects due to historic reference prices. We discuss representation and inference and we propose an estimation method using Bayesian techniques. An illustration to a market-response model for 96 brands for about 8 years of weekly data shows the merits of our approach.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1765/7032
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute in its series Econometric Institute Report with number EI 2005-45 Revision_Date: 2009-11-06.

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Date of creation: 01 Jan 2005
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Handle: RePEc:dgr:eureir:1765007032

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Web page: http://www.few.eur.nl/few

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Related research
Keywords: panels of time series; weekly seasonality; threshold models; non-linearity; Bayes estimation; MCMC;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-16.


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