This file is part of IDEAS , which uses RePEc data
[ Papers |
Articles |
Software |
Books |
Chapters |
Authors |
Institutions |
JEL Classification |
NEP reports |
Search |
New papers by email |
Author registration |
Rankings |
Volunteers |
FAQ |
Blog |
Help! ]
The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctiations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Dijk, D.J.C. van
Strikholm, B.
Terasvirta, T. (Erasmus Econometric Institute)
Additional information is available for the following
registered author(s):
Changes in the seasonal patterns of macroeconomic time series may be due to the effects of business cycle fluctuations or to technological and institutional change or both. We examine the relative importance of these two sources of change in seasonality for industrial production series of the G7 countries. We find compelling evidence that the effects of gradual institutional and technological change are much more important than the effects attributable to the business cycle.
To download:
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the
proper application to
view it first. Information about this may be contained
in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read
the IDEAS help
page . Note that these files are not on the IDEAS
site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Paper provided by Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute in its series Econometric Institute Report with number
EI 2001-12 Revision_Date: 2009-10-28.
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML
(with abstract ),
plain text
(with abstract ),
BibTeX ,
RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite),
ReDIF
Length:
Date of creation: 30 Mar 2001Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:dgr:eureir:1765001676Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.few.eur.nl/few
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Anneke Kop).
Keywords: Nonlinear time series ; Seasonality ; Smooth transition autoregression ; structural change ; time-varying parameter ; Other versions of this item:
Article Paper van Dijk, Dick & Strikholm, Birgit & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2001.
"The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctuations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
0429, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 16 May 2002.
[Downloadable!] D. Van Dijk & D. Strikholm & T. Terasvirta, 2001.
"The effects of institutional and technological change and business cycle fluctiations on seasonal patterns in quarterly industrial production series ,"
Econometric Institute Report
220, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!] References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Philip Hans Franses & Timothy J. Vogelsang, 1998.
"On Seasonal Cycles, Unit Roots, And Mean Shifts ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 80(2), pages 231-240, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Jeffrey A. Miron & J. Joseph Beaulieu, 1995.
"What Have Macroeconomists Learned about Business Cycles from the Study of Seasonal Cycles? ,"
NBER Working Papers
5258, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: S. Krane & W. Wascher, 1999.
"The cyclical sensitivity of seasonality in US employment ,"
BIS Working Papers
67, Bank for International Settlements.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Spencer D. Krane & William L. Wascher, 1995.
"The cyclical sensitivity of seasonality in U.S. employment ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
95-43, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Krane, Spencer & Wascher, William, 1999.
"The cyclical sensitivity of seasonality in U.S. employment ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 523-553, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Sichel, Daniel E, 1994.
"Inventories and the Three Phases of the Business Cycle ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 12(3), pages 269-77, July.
Beaulieu, J Joseph & MacKie-Mason, Jeffrey K & Miron, Jeffrey A, 1992.
"Why Do Countries and Industries with Large Seasonal Cycles also Have Large Business Cycles? ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
MIT Press, vol. 107(2), pages 621-56, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: David A. Pierce, 1978.
"Seasonal adjustment when both deterministic and stochastic seasonality are present ,"
Special Studies Papers
107, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Hansen, Bruce E, 1996.
"Inference When a Nuisance Parameter Is Not Identified under the Null Hypothesis ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 64(2), pages 413-30, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Ng, S. & Perron, P., 1994.
"Unit Root Tests ARMA Models with Data Dependent Methods for the Selection of the Truncation Lag ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9423, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
Other versions: Jeffrey A. Miron, 1990.
"The Economics of Seasonal Cycles ,"
NBER Working Papers
3522, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990.
"Seasonal integration and cointegration ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Hyllerberg, S. & Engle, R.F. & Granger, C.W.J. & Yoo, B.S., 1988.
"Seasonal Integration And Cointegration ,"
Papers
0-88-2, Pennsylvania State - Department of Economics.
Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R.F. & Granger, C.W.J. & Yoo, B.S., 1988.
"Seasonal, Integration And Cointegration ,"
Papers
6-88-2, Pennsylvania State - Department of Economics.
Canova, Fabio & Ghysels, Eric, 1994.
"Changes in seasonal patterns : Are they cyclical? ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 18(6), pages 1143-1171, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Canova, F. & Ghysels, E., 1992.
"Changes in Seasonal Patters: Are They Cyclical ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9216, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
[Downloadable!] Canova, F. & Ghysels, E., 1992.
"Changes in Seasonal Patters: Are They Cyclical ,"
Cahiers de recherche
9216, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
David A. Pierce, 1978.
"Seasonal Adjustment When Both Deterministic and Stochastic Seasonality Are Present ,"
NBER Chapters ,
in: Seasonal Analysis of Economic Time Series, pages 242-280
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!]
Cecchetti, Stephen G & Kashyap, Anil K & Wilcox, David W, 1997.
"Interactions between the Seasonal and Business Cycles in Production and Inventories ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 87(5), pages 884-92, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Canova, Fabio & Hansen, Bruce E, 1995.
"Are Seasonal Patterns Constant over Time? A Test for Seasonal Stability ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 13(3), pages 237-52, July.
Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2000.
"Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models ,"
Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance
376, Stockholm School of Economics.
Other versions: Carpenter, Robert E & Levy, Daniel, 1998.
"Seasonal Cycles, Business Cycles, and the Comovement of Inventory Investment and Output ,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 30(3), pages 331-46, August.
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Michael Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2007.
"Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models: Estimation, Testing and Forecasting ,"
Discussion Papers
5_2007, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Michael J. Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2006.
"Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: estimation, testing and forecasting ,"
Working Papers
2003-024, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!] Michael Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2006.
"Contemporaneous Threshold Autoregressive Models: Estimation, Testing and Forecasting ,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
2006-04, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
[Downloadable!] Dueker, Michael J. & Sola, Martin & Spagnolo, Fabio, 2007.
"Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: Estimation, testing and forecasting ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 517-547, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Candelon, Bertrand & Dupuy, Arnaud & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2008.
"The Nature of Occupational Unemployment Rates in the United States: Hysteresis or Structural? ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
3571, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: João Paulo Martin Faleiros & Denisard Cnéio de Oliveira Alves, 2008.
"Modelo de Crescimento Baseado nas Exportações: Evidências empíricas para Chile, Brasil e México, em uma perspectiva Não Linear ,"
Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting]
200807170923500, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
[Downloadable!]
Galvão, Ana Beatriz C., 2003.
"Structural Break Threshold VARs for Predicting US Recessions using the Spread ,"
Ibmec Working Papers
wpe_37, Ibmec Working Paper, Ibmec São Paulo.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: João Paulo Martin Faleiros & Denisard Cnéio de Oliveira Alves, 2006.
"Não Linearidade Nos Ciclos De Negócios: Modelo Auto-Regressivo “Smooth Transition” Para O Índice Geral De Produção Industrial Brasileiro E Bens De Capital ,"
Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting]
10, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
[Downloadable!]
Ahdi Ajmi & Adnen Ben Nasr & Mohamed Boutahar, 2008.
"Seasonal Nonlinear Long Memory Model for the US Inflation Rates ,"
Computational Economics ,
Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 243-254, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Access and
download statistics Did you know? You too can volunteer for RePEc, for example by encouraging others to use our services.
This page was last updated on 2009-12-9.
This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics , College of Liberal Arts and Sciences , University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics .