The Great Synchronisation : tracking the trade collapse with high-frequency data
AbstractWhile several culprits have been proposed to explain the current trade collapse (e.g. the credit crunch, global production chains, generalised loss of confidence), the great synchronisation underlying the collapse suggests that it is very probably their interaction, rather than each individual effect, that might best explain why international trade has taken such an epic hit in this global crisis. The high-frequency pattern of trade flows also reveals systemic propagation effects during the crisis that would be interesting to analyze further, as well as new patterns in the structure of trade flows. All these issues open interesting research questions for international trade economists.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Paris Dauphine University in its series Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine with number 123456789/8088.
Date of creation: Mar 2011
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in The Great Trade Collapse : Causes, Consequences and Prospects, . pp. 101-106.Length: 5 pages
Commercial policy; International trade; Global Financial Crisis;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
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