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The Great Synchronisation : tracking the trade collapse with high-frequency data

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  • Araújo, Sónia
  • Oliveira Martins, Joaquim

Abstract

While several culprits have been proposed to explain the current trade collapse (e.g. the credit crunch, global production chains, generalised loss of confidence), the great synchronisation underlying the collapse suggests that it is very probably their interaction, rather than each individual effect, that might best explain why international trade has taken such an epic hit in this global crisis. The high-frequency pattern of trade flows also reveals systemic propagation effects during the crisis that would be interesting to analyze further, as well as new patterns in the structure of trade flows. All these issues open interesting research questions for international trade economists.

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File URL: http://basepub.dauphine.fr/xmlui/bitstream/123456789/8088/1/great_trade_collapse.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Paris Dauphine University in its series Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine with number 123456789/8088.

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Date of creation: Mar 2011
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Publication status: Published in The Great Trade Collapse : Causes, Consequences and Prospects, . pp. 101-106.Length: 5 pages
Handle: RePEc:dau:papers:123456789/8088

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Related research

Keywords: Commercial policy; International trade; Global Financial Crisis;

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  1. Gordon H. Hanson & Raymond Robertson, 2010. "China and the Manufacturing Exports of Other Developing Countries," NBER Chapters, in: China's Growing Role in World Trade, pages 137-159 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Paul R. Bergin & Robert C. Feenstra & Gordon H. Hanson, 2009. "Offshoring and Volatility: Evidence from Mexico's Maquiladora Industry," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(4), pages 1664-71, September.
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Cited by:
  1. Behrens, Kristian & Corcos, Gregory & Mion, Giordano, 2010. "Trade Crisis? What Trade Crisis?," CEPR Discussion Papers 7956, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Nikolaos Antonakakis, 2012. "The Great Synchronization of International Trade Collapse," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp142, Vienna University of Economics, Department of Economics.

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