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Comparing Monetary Policy Rules in a Small Open Economy Framework: An Empirical Analysis Using Bayesian Techniques

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  • Eschenhof, Sabine

Abstract

This paper examines the role of exchange rate changes in the monetary policy for the Euro Area. Moreover, it compares different Taylor-type policy rules with respect to the numerical results as well as the impulse responses to exogenous shocks and the fit of the different data model specifications when using the underlying data. Overall, a monetary policy rule which includes the expected inflation rate as well as the output gap performs best and supports a possible role of exchange rate changes in the Euro Area's monetary policy.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute of Economics (VWL) in its series Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics with number 40392.

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Date of creation: Dec 2009
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Publication status: Published in Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics . 197 (2009-12)
Handle: RePEc:dar:ddpeco:40392

Note: for complete metadata visit http://tubiblio.ulb.tu-darmstadt.de/40392/
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Related research

Keywords: Bayesian Estimation; Small Open Economy; Monetary Policy; Taylor Rule;

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References

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  1. Jordi Galí & Mark Gertler, 1998. "Inflation dynamics: A structural econometric analysis," Economics Working Papers 341, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  2. Mark Gertler & Jordi Gali & Richard Clarida, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1661-1707, December.
  3. Thomas Lubik & Frank Schorfheide, 2005. "A Bayesian Look at New Open Economy Macroeconomics," Economics Working Paper Archive 521, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
  4. Thomas Lubik & Frank Schorfheide, 2003. "Do Central Banks Respond to Exchange Rate Movements? A Structural Investigation," Economics Working Paper Archive 505, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
  5. Raf Wouters & Frank Smets, 2005. "Comparing shocks and frictions in US and euro area business cycles: a Bayesian DSGE Approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 161-183.
  6. Julio Rotemberg & Michael Woodford, 1997. "An Optimization-Based Econometric Framework for the Evaluation of Monetary Policy," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Volume 12, pages 297-361 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Cited by:
  1. Caraiani, Petre, 2011. "Comparing Monetary Policy Rules in the Romanian Economy: A New Keynesian Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 30-46, December.
  2. Caraiani, Petre, 2013. "Comparing monetary policy rules in CEE economies: A Bayesian approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 233-246.

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