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Metaanalyse empirischer Abschreckungsstudien Untersuchungsansatz und erste empirische Befunde


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  • Dölling, Dieter
  • Entorf, Horst
  • Herrmann, Dieter
  • Rupp, Thomas
  • Woll, Andreas


Dieses Papier beschreibt in Grundzügen die Vorgehensweise und erste Ergebnisse einer Meta-Analyse empirischer Arbeiten zur negativen Generalpr ävention. Von vielen hundert Studien aus allen Fach- und Themengebieten wurden zufällig 200 ausgewählt und mittels einer Meta-Analyse ausgewertet. Die daraus resultierenden Ergebnisse deuten darauf hin, dass die Ergebnisse einer Arbeit wesentlich von ihrem Design, den verwendeten Kontrollvariablen und den untersuchten Delikten beeinflusst werden. Es zeigt sich, dass einerseits die Abschreckungshypothese insgesamt eher bestätigt wird, andererseits jedoch noch viele potentielle Hindernisse berücksichtigt werden müssen (Publication Bias, Multikollinearität, etc.). Klarere Ergebnisse sind zu erwarten, sobald die Datenbasis auf einem wesentlich größeren Anteil aller verfügbarer Studien beruht.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute of Economics (VWL) in its series Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics with number 36754.

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Date of creation: Apr 2006
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics . 170 (2006-04)
Handle: RePEc:dar:ddpeco:36754

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Keywords: Meta-Analyse; negative Generalprävention; Abschreckung;


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  1. Imai, Susumu & Krishna, Kala, 2001. "Employment, Dynamic Deterrence and Crime," Working Papers 1-01-2, Pennsylvania State University, Department of Economics.
  2. Glaeser, Edward L & Sacerdote, Bruce & Scheinkman, Jose A, 1996. "Crime and Social Interactions," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 111(2), pages 507-48, May.
  3. Lovell, Michael C, 1983. "Data Mining," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 65(1), pages 1-12, February.
  4. Ehrlich, Isaac, 1973. "Participation in Illegitimate Activities: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 521-65, May-June.
  5. George A. Akerlof, 1997. "Social Distance and Social Decisions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(5), pages 1005-1028, September.
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Cited by:
  1. Entorf, Horst, 2007. "Evaluation des Maßregelvollzugs: Grundzüge einer Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse," Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics 35718, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute of Economics (VWL).


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