The Terms of Trade, Productivity Shocks, and The Current Account

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The Terms of Trade, Productivity Shocks, and The Current Account

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Talan B. Iscan () (Department of Economics, Dalhousie University)

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Talan B. Iscan

Abstract

This paper extends the analytical framework provided by Glick and Rogoff (JME 1995) to an economy with traded and nontraded goods, and it analyzes the impact of country- specific and global productivity shocks on the current account and investment. Each of these disturbances have different implications for the current account and investment that are largely consistent with the empirical results. First, the current account responds by more than investment to country-specific traded productivity growth. Second, global traded productivity and country-specific nontraded productivity growth have no effect on the current account, but they have significant impact on investment. Third, global component of nontraded productivity is negligible and has no significant impact on either the current account or investment. In addition, the response of the current account and investment to relative prices (the terms of trade and exchange rate) are insignificant. This paper also discusses the potential reasons for it.

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Paper provided by Dalhousie, Department of Economics in its series Department of Economics at Dalhousie University working papers archive with number global.

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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: 19 May 1998
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Handle: RePEc:dal:wparch:global

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Paper
- Iscan, T., 1998. "The Terms of Trade, Productivity Shocks, and the Current Account," Department of Economics at Dalhousie University working papers archive 98-01, Dalhousie, Department of Economics.

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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Other versions:
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