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The Shape of Things to Come? Assessing the Effectiveness of Suicide Attacks and Targeted Killings

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Author Info
David A. Jaeger () (Department of Economics, College of William and Mary)
M. Daniele Paserman () (Department of Economics, Hebrew University)

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Abstract

In this paper we assess the effectiveness of suicide attacks and targeted killings in the Second Intifada. We find evidence that the targeted killings of Palestinian leaders by Israel reduce realized Palestinian violence. We find, however, that intended Palestinian violence is increasing at low levels of targeted killings, but decreasing at higher levels. There is little evidence to suggest that suicide bombings against Israelis reduce the number of subsequent Palestinian fatalities. Rather, we find that suicide attacks that kill at least one Israeli lead to subsequent increased incidence and levels of Palestinian fatalities. Our results do not support the notion that suicide attacks and targeted killings follow the "tit-for-tat" pattern that is commonly postulated in the literature.

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File URL: http://www.wm.edu/economics/wp/cwm_wp54.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Economics, College of William and Mary in its series Working Papers with number 54.

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Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: 17 Jul 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cwm:wpaper:54

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Related research
Keywords: suicide terrorism targeted killings assassinations Second Intifada Palestinians Israel

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models
D71 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Social Choice; Clubs; Committees; Associations
D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances
H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

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This page was last updated on 2008-4-13.


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