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Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities

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Abstract

In this paper, we propose an instrumental variable approach to constructing confidence sets (CS's) for the true parameter in models defined by conditional moment inequalities/equalities. We show that by properly choosing instrument functions, one can transform conditional moment inequalities/equalities into unconditional ones without losing identification power. Based on the unconditional moment inequalities/equalities, we construct CS's by inverting Cramer-von Mises-type or Kolmogorov-Smirnov-type tests. Critical values are obtained using generalized moment selection (GMS) procedures. We show that the proposed CS's have correct uniform asymptotic coverage probabilities. New methods are required to establish these results because an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter affects the asymptotic distributions. We show that the tests considered are consistent against all fixed alternatives and typically have power against n^{-1/2}-local alternatives to some, but not all, sequences of distributions in the null hypothesis. Monte Carlo simulations for five different models show that the methods perform well in finite samples.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University in its series Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers with number 1761RR.

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Length: 170 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2010
Date of revision: May 2012
Publication status: Published in Econometrica (March 2013), 81(2): 609-666
Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1761rr

Note: Includes supplement. CFP 1377 and CFP 1377s.
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Postal: Cowles Foundation, Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA

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Keywords: Asymptotic size; Asymptotic power; Conditional moment inequalities; Confidence set; Cramer-von Mises; Generalized moment selection; Kolmogorov-Smirnov; Moment inequalities;

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Donald W.K. Andrews & Xiaoxia Shi, 2011. "Nonparametric Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1840, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  2. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Kengo Kato, 2013. "Testing many moment inequalities," CeMMAP working papers CWP65/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  3. Okumura, Tsunao & Usui, Emiko, 2010. "Concave-Monotone Treatment Response and Monotone Treatment Selection: With an Application to the Returns to Schooling," IZA Discussion Papers 4986, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  4. Toru Kitagawa, 2013. "A bootstrap test for instrument validity in heterogeneous treatment effect models," CeMMAP working papers CWP53/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  5. Federico Bugni & Ivan Canay & Xiaoxia Shi, 2014. "Inference for functions of partially identified parameters in moment inequality models," CeMMAP working papers CWP22/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  6. Hiroaki Kaido, 2014. "Asymptotically efficient estimation of weighted average derivatives with an interval censored variable," CeMMAP working papers CWP03/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  7. Stephen G. Donald & Yu-Chin Hsu, 2012. "Estimation and Inference for Distribution Functions and Quantile Functions in Treatment Effect Models," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 12-A016, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
  8. Laffers, Lukas, 2013. "Identification in Models with Discrete Variables," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 1/2013, Department of Economics, Norwegian School of Economics.
  9. Jason R. Blevins, 2013. "Non-Standard Rates of Convergence of Criterion-Function-Based Set Estimators," Working Papers 13-02, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
  10. Ying-Ying Lee, 2014. "Partial Mean Processes with Generated Regressors: Continuous Treatment Effects and Nonseparable Models," Economics Series Working Papers 706, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  11. Federico Bugni & Ivan Canay & Xiaoxia Shi, 2014. "Specification tests for partially identified models defined by moment inequalities," CeMMAP working papers CWP19/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  12. Fan, Yanqin & Park, Sang Soo, 2014. "Nonparametric inference for counterfactual means: Bias-correction, confidence sets, and weak IV," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P1), pages 45-56.

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