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Emerging Markets in an Anxious Global Economy

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Author Info
Ana Fostel (Dept. of Economics, George Washington University)
John Geanakoplos () (Cowles Foundation, Yale University)
Abstract

We provide a theory of pricing for emerging asset classes, like emerging markets, that are not yet mature enough to be attractive to the general public. Our model provides an explanation for the volatile access of emerging economies to international financial markets and for several stylized facts we identify in the data during the 1990's. We present a general equilibrium model with incomplete markets and endogenous collateral and an extension encompassing adverse selection. We show that contagion, flight to liquidity and issuance rationing can occur in equilibrium during what we call global anxious times.

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File URL: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cd/d16a/d1646.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Cowles Foundation, Yale University in its series Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers with number 1646.

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Date of creation: Mar 2008
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Publication status: Published in American Economic Review (2008), 98(4): 1211-1244
Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1646

Note: CFP 1233.
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Postal: Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA
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Web page: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/
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Postal: Cowles Foundation, Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA

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Related research
Keywords: Margin; Leverage cycle; Liquidity preference; Collateral value; Informational volatility; Contagion; Portfolio effect; Flight to liquidity; Asymmetric information; Issuance rationing; Anxious economy; Emerging markets; High yield; Market closures;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets
F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-4.


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