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Higher-order Improvements of the Parametric Bootstrap for Long-memory Gaussian Processes

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Author Info
Donald W.K. Andrews () (Cowles Foundation, Yale University)
Offer Lieberman (Technion-Israel Institute)

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Abstract

This paper determines coverage probability errors of both delta method and parametric bootstrap confidence intervals (CIs) for the covariance parameters of stationary long-memory Gaussian time series. CIs for the long-memory parameter d_0 are included. The results establish that the bootstrap provides higher-order improvements over the delta method. Analogous results are given for tests. The CIs and tests are based on one or other of two approximate maximum likelihood estimators. The first estimator solves the first-order conditions with respect to the covariance parameters of a "plug-in" log-likelihood function that has the unknown mean replaced by the sample mean. The second estimator does likewise for a plug-in Whittle log-likelihood. The magnitudes of the coverage probability errors for one-sided bootstrap CIs for covariance parameters for long-memory time series are shown to be essentially the same as they are with iid data. This occurs even though the mean of the time series cannot be estimated at the usual n^{1/2} rate.

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File URL: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cd/d13b/d1378.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Cowles Foundation, Yale University in its series Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers with number 1378.

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Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2002
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Journal of Econometrics (2006), 133: 673-702
Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1378

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Postal: Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA
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Web page: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/
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Postal: Cowles Foundation, Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA

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Related research
Keywords: Asymptotics; confidence intervals; delta method; Edgeworth expansion; Gaussian process; long memory; maximum likelihood estimator; parametric bootstrap; t statistic; Whittle likelihood;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods

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