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Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Ray C. Fair () (Yale University, Cowles Foundation )
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This paper outlines a bootstrapping approach to the estimation and analysis of macroeconometric models. It integrates for dynamic, nonlinear, simultaneous equation models the bootstrapping approach to evaluating estimators initiated by Efron (1979) and the stochastic simulation approach to evaluating models' properties initiated by Adelman and Adelman (1959). It also estimates for a particular model the gain in coverage accuracy from using bootstrap confidence intervals over asymptotic confidence intervals.
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Paper provided by Cowles Foundation, Yale University in its series Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers with number
1345.
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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2001Date of revision:
Jun 2003Publication status: Published in Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, Vol. 7, No. 4, Article 1Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1345Note: CFP 1195.Contact details of provider: Postal: Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA Phone: (203) 432-3702 Fax: (203) 432-6167 Web page: http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/ More information through EDIRC
Order Information: Postal: Cowles Foundation, Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Glena Ames).
Keywords: Bootstrapping ; stochastic simulation ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Fair, Ray C, 1993.
"Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models ,"
Oxford Economic Papers ,
Oxford University Press, vol. 45(2), pages 169-90, April.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Lutz Kilian, 1998.
"Small-Sample Confidence Intervals For Impulse Response Functions ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 80(2), pages 218-230, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Runkle, David E, 1987.
"Vector Autoregressions and Reality ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 5(4), pages 437-42, October.
G. S. Hongyi Li, 1996.
"Bootstrapping time series models ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 115-158.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Andrews, Donald W K & Ploberger, Werner, 1994.
"Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Only under the Alternative ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 62(6), pages 1383-1414, November.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Brown, Bryan W & Mariano, Roberto S, 1984.
"Residual-Based Procedures for Prediction and Estimation in a Nonlinear Simultaneous System ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 52(2), pages 321-43, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Joel L. Horowitz, 1996.
"Bootstrap Methods in Econometrics: Theory and Numerical Performance ,"
Econometrics
9602009, EconWPA, revised 05 Mar 1996.
[Downloadable!]
W. Härdle & J. Horowitz & J.-P. Kreiss, .
"Bootstrap Methods For Time Series ,"
Sonderforschungsbereich 373
2001-59, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
David E. Runkle, 1987.
"Vector autoregressions and reality ,"
Staff Report
107, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
[Downloadable!]
Fair, Ray C, 1980.
"Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 21(2), pages 355-78, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Hall, Peter & Horowitz, Joel L, 1996.
"Bootstrap Critical Values for Tests Based on Generalized-Method-of-Moments Estimators ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 891-916, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ray C. Fair & John B. Taylor, 1980.
"Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
564, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Ray C. Fair & John B. Taylor, 1980.
"Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear RationalExpectations Models ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0005, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Fair, Ray C & Taylor, John B, 1983.
"Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 51(4), pages 1169-85, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Yoel Haitovsky & Neil Wallace, 1972.
"A Study Of Discretionary And Nondiscretionary Monetary And Fiscal Policies In The Context Of Stochastic Macroeconometric Models ,"
NBER Chapters ,
in: Economic Research: Retrospect and Prospect Vol 1: The Business Cycle Today, pages 261-310
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!]
Jeremy Berkowitz & Lutz Kilian, 1996.
"Recent developments in bootstrapping time series ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
96-45, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Michael K. Evans & Lawrence R. Klein & Mitsuo Saito & Michael D. McCarthy, 1972.
"Short-Run Prediction And Long-Run Simulation Of The Wharton Model ,"
NBER Chapters ,
in: Econometric Models of Cyclical Behavior, Vols. 1 and 2, pages 139-200
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!]
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Dag Kolsrud, 2008.
"Stochastic Ceteris Paribus Simulations ,"
Computational Economics ,
Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 21-43, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Debby Lanser & Henk Kranendonk, 2008.
"Investigating uncertainty in macroeconomic forecasts by stochastic simulation ,"
CPB Discussion Papers
112, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
[Downloadable!]
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