Empirical Limits for Time Series Econometric Models
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- Werner Ploberger & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2003. "Empirical Limits for Time Series Econometric Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 627-673, March.
References listed on IDEAS
- P. C. B. Phillips & S. N. Durlauf, 1986.
"Multiple Time Series Regression with Integrated Processes,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 53(4), pages 473-495.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Steven N. Durlauf, 1985. "Multiple Time Series Regression with Integrated Processes," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 768, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Park, Joon Y. & Phillips, Peter C.B., 1989.
"Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 2,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 95-131, April.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Joon Y. Park, 1986. "Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 2," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 819R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Feb 1987.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Werner Ploberger, 1991. "Time Series Modelling with a Bayesian Frame of Reference: 1. Concepts and Illustrations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 980, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Kim, Jae-Young, 1994. "Bayesian Asymptotic Theory in a Time Series Model with a Possible Nonstationary Process," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(3-4), pages 764-773, August.
- Keuzenkamp, Hugo A & McAleer, Michael, 1995. "Simplicity, Scientific Interference and Econometric Modelling," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 105(428), pages 1-21, January.
- Phillips, Peter C B & Ploberger, Werner, 1996. "An Asymptotic Theory of Bayesian Inference for Time Series," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(2), pages 381-412, March.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Victor Solo, 1989. "Asymptotics for Linear Processes," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 932, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Werner Ploberger, 1992. "Time Series Modeling with a Bayesian Frame of Reference: Concepts, Illustrations and Asymptotics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1038, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
Citations
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Cited by:
- Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerron-Quintana, 2010.
"Fortune or Virtue: Time Variant Volatilities versus Parameter Drifting in U.S. Data,"
2010 Meeting Papers
270, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2010. "Fortune or Virtue: Time-Variant Volatilities Versus Parameter Drifting in U.S. Data," NBER Working Papers 15928, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A., 2010. "Fortune or Virtue: Time-Variant Volatilities Versus Parameter Drifting in U.S. Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 7813, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Juan F. Rubio-RamÃrez, 2010. "Fortune or Virtue: Time-Variant Volatilities Versus Parameter Drifting in U.S. Data," PIER Working Paper Archive 10-015, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Athanasopoulos, George & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011.
"Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 116-129, September.
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor, 2009. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 688, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 713, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2010. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 707, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2010. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 704, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- George Athanasopoulos & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & Farshid Vahid, 2010. "Model selection, Estimation and Forecasting in VAR Models with Short-run and Long-run Restrictions," Working Papers Series 205, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- George Athanasopoulos & Osmani T. de C. Guillén & João V. Issler & Farshid Vahid, 2009. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 2/09, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Phillips, Peter C. B., 2002.
"New unit root asymptotics in the presence of deterministic trends,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 111(2), pages 323-353, December.
- Peter C.B. Phillips, 1998. "New Unit Root Asymptotics in the Presence of Deterministic Trends," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1196, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Phillips, Peter, 1998. "New Unit Root Asymptotics in the Presence of Deterministic Trends," Working Papers 196, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland.
- Durlauf, Steven N., 2001. "Manifesto for a growth econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 65-69, January.
- Hall, Alastair R. & Inoue, Atsushi & Nason, James M. & Rossi, Barbara, 2012.
"Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 499-518.
- Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2007. "Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2007-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 127, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Alastair Hall & Atsushi & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009. "Information Criteria For Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation Of Dsge Models," Working Papers 09-09, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Hall, Alastair & Inoue, Atsushi & Nason M, James & Rossi, Barbara, 2007. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Working Papers 07-04, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Alastair Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2010. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Working Papers 10-28, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2008.
"How Structural Are Structural Parameters?,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007, Volume 22, pages 83-137,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F Rubio-Ramírez, 2007. "How Structural Are Structural Parameters?," Levine's Bibliography 843644000000000057, UCLA Department of Economics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2007. "How Structural Are Structural Parameters?," NBER Working Papers 13166, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Patrick Marsh, "undated". "A Measure of Distance for the Unit Root Hypothesis," Discussion Papers 05/02, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Neri, Marcelo Côrtes & Soares, Wagner Lopes, 2008. "Turismo sustentável e alivio a pobreza: avaliação de impacto," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 689, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Ji Hyung Lee, 2015. "Limit Theory for VARs with Mixed Roots Near Unity," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6-10), pages 1035-1056, December.
- Aaron Schiff & Peter Phillips, 2000.
"Forecasting New Zealand's real GDP,"
New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 159-181.
- Aaron F. Schiff & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2000. "Forecasting New Zealand's Real GDP," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1278, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Schiff, Aaron & Phillips, Peter, 2000. "Forecasting New Zealand's Real GDP," Working Papers 186, Department of Economics, The University of Auckland.
- Phillips, Peter C. B., 2001.
"Trending time series and macroeconomic activity: Some present and future challenges,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 21-27, January.
- Peter C.B. Phillips, 2000. "Trending Time Series and Macroeconomic Activity: Some Present and Future Challenges," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1264, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Thomas M. Fullerton, Jr. & Jorge A. Ibarra Salazar & Mario Elizalde, 2015. "Microeconomic Gasoline Consumption Anomalies in Mexico: 1997-2007," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(4), pages 709-722, April.
- Kelvin Balcombe, 2005. "Model Selection Using Information Criteria and Genetic Algorithms," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 25(3), pages 207-228, June.
- Phillips, Peter C.B., 2005.
"Challenges of trending time series econometrics,"
Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 68(5), pages 401-416.
- Peter C.B. Phillips, 2004. "Challenges of Trending Time Series Econometrics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1472, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Lieberman, Offer & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2020.
"Hybrid stochastic local unit roots,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 257-285.
- Offer Lieberman & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2017. "Hybrid Stochastic Local Unit Roots," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2113, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Lee, Ji Hyung & Shi, Zhentao & Gao, Zhan, 2022.
"On LASSO for predictive regression,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 322-349.
- Ji Hyung Lee & Zhentao Shi & Zhan Gao, 2018. "On LASSO for Predictive Regression," Papers 1810.03140, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Zhipeng Liao, 2012. "Series Estimation of Stochastic Processes: Recent Developments and Econometric Applications," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1871, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Peter C. B. Phillips, 2003.
"Laws and Limits of Econometrics,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(486), pages 26-52, March.
- Peter C.B. Phillips, 2003. "Laws and Limits of Econometrics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1397, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Offer Lieberman & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2017. "Latent Variable Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 3013, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Filippo Massari, 2021. "Price probabilities: a class of Bayesian and non-Bayesian prediction rules," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 72(1), pages 133-166, July.
- Ronald W. Butler & Marc S. Paolella, 2017. "Autoregressive Lag—Order Selection Using Conditional Saddlepoint Approximations," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-33, September.
- Munehisa Kasuya & Tomoki Tanemura, 2000. "Small Scale Bayesian VAR Modeling of the Japanese Macro Economy Using the Posterior Information Criterion and Monte Carlo Experiments," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series Research and Statistics D, Bank of Japan.
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More about this item
Keywords
Proximity bounds; data generating process; empirical measures; Fisher information; minimal information loss; Lebesgue measure; optimal predictor; path dependence; trends; unit roots;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Statistics
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