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Expected Labour Demand in South Africa, 1998-2003

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  • Morné Oosthuizen

    ()
    (Development Policy Research Unit, University of Cape Town)

Abstract

The current misalignment of labour supply and demand in South Africa constitutes one of the factors that hold back the countrys economic growth. Consequently, efforts have recently been made to estimate future labour demand so that current policies are designed in such a way as to attempt to minimise the skills mismatch. This paper investigates one such study that forecasts formal sector non-agricultural labour demand for the period 1998 to 2003. The paper also looks at the extent to which the forecasts deviate from previous trends and identifies some reasons underlying the varying accuracy of the forecasts across different sectors and occupations. Generally, however, the forecast predicts increased demand for labour in higher-skilled occupations and in the non-government tertiary sector, a continuation of previous labour market trends.

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File URL: http://www.dpru.uct.ac.za/sites/default/files/image_tool/images/36/DPRU%20WP03-081.pdf
File Function: First version, 2003
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Cape Town, Development Policy Research Unit in its series Working Papers with number 03081.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2003
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Working Paper Series by the Development Policy Research Unit, August 2003, pages 1-22
Handle: RePEc:ctw:wpaper:03081

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Related research

Keywords: South Africa: non-agricultural labour demand; labour supply and demand;

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Cited by:
  1. Morné Oosthuizen & Haroon Bhorat, 2005. "The Post-Apartheid South African Labour Market," Working Papers 05093, University of Cape Town, Development Policy Research Unit.
  2. Morné Oosthuizen, 2006. "The Post-Apartheid Labour Market: 1995-2004," Working Papers 06103, University of Cape Town, Development Policy Research Unit.

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