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Investissement public et effets non linéaires des déficits budgétaires

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Author Info

  • Alexandru Minea

    (LEO, Université d’Orléans)

  • Patrick Villieu

    (LEO, Université d’Orléans)

Abstract

Dans cet article, nous proposons un modèle théorique simple dans lequel l’impact du déficit budgétaire sur les dépenses publiques d’investissement dépend du niveau de dette publique (en pourcentage du PIB). Lorsque la dette publique est faible, l’impact du déficit est positif, car la charge de la dette peut être très élevée, en revanche, il n’est plus possible de réduire les dépenses de consommation, et l’ajustement s’opère pas les dépenses d’investissement, de sorte que la relation entre déficit et dépenses publiques d’investissement devient négative. Une analyse empirique menée dans un modèle économétrique avec effets de seuil en panel sur 22 pays de l’OCDE vient confirmer cette non linéarité.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) in its series Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) with number 2009031.

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Length: 30
Date of creation: 01 Sep 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvre:2009031

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Related research

Keywords: déficit; dépenses publiques productives; effets non linéaires de la politique fiscale;

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Cited by:
  1. Patrick Villieu, 2011. "Quel objectif pour la dette publique à moyen terme ?," Working Papers, HAL halshs-00829660, HAL.
  2. Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2011. "Dette publique, croissance et bien-être : une perspective de long terme," Working Papers, HAL halshs-00829647, HAL.

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