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Regime switching GARCH models Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Luc, BAUWENS (UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE))
Arie, PREMINGER (UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE))
Jeroen, ROMBOUTS
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We develop univariate regime-switching GARCH (RS-GARCH) models wherein the conditional variance switches in time from one GARCH process to another. The switching is governed by a time-varying probability, specified as a function of past information. We provide sufficient conditions for stationarity and existence of moments. Because of path dependence, maximum likehood estimation is infeasible. By enlarging the parameter space to include the state variables, Bayesian estimation using a Gibbs sampling algorithm is feasible. We apply this model using the NASDAQ daily returns series.
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Paper provided by Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques in its series Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques Working Paper with number
2006006.
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Date of creation: 20 Feb 2006Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvec:2006006Contact details of provider: Postal: Place Montesquieu 3, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve (Belgium) Fax: +32 10473945 Email: Web page: http://www.uclouvain.be/econ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: GARCH regime switching Bayesian inference Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Bayesian Analysis C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: L. Bauwens & C.S. Bos & H.K. van Dijk, 1999.
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Other versions:
Luc Bauwens & Charles S. Bos & Herman K. van Dijk, 1999.
"Adaptive Polar Sampling with an Application to a Bayes Measure of Value-at-Risk ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
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Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques Working Paper
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Other versions:
Luc Bauwens & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2006.
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Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2007.
"Robustness of the Risk-Return Relationship in the U.S. Stock Market ,"
MPRA Paper
3879, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Luc, BAUWENS & G., STORTI, 2007.
"A Component GARCH Model with Time Varying Weights ,"
Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques Working Paper
2007012, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Chun Liu & John M Maheu, 2007.
"Are there Structural Breaks in Realized Volatility? ,"
Working Papers
tecipa-304, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
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