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Derechos de Propiedad y Crecimiento Económico en Argentina 1875-1990

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Author Info
Isabel Sanz Villarroya ()
Abstract

La explicación del fracaso argentino ha acaparado la atención de los estudiosos de la economía y la historia que tratan de averiguar porqué a partir de un determinado momento la evolución económica de este país se desvió de la seguida por otros desarrollados con los que podía equipararse, tales como Australia y Canadá. Entre las razones aducidas en la historiografía destacan su elevado crecimiento demográfico, las incorrectas políticas aplicadas, así como la inestabilidad de su marco institucional y la estructura de incentivos derivada del mismo. En este trabajo se trata de integrar todas estas causas en un modelo de crecimiento en el que la variable institucional, aproximada como el porcentaje de depósitos bancarios sobre la oferta monetaria, juega un papel determinante. De acuerdo al sistema de ecuaciones que define a dicho modelo, esta variable afecta positivamente a la inversión a través del precio relativos de los bienes de capital. A su vez, la inversión se encuentra relacionada de manera positiva con el crecimiento del producto. La relevancia de la variable institucional es tal que si se realiza un contrafactual suponiendo que el marco institucional hubiese sido más estable, se advierte que Argentina habría experimentado unas tasas de crecimiento per cápita mayores que le hubiesen permitido no solo acortar distancias con Australia y Canadá durante más tiempo sino también superar los niveles de estos países al menos hasta la década de los cincuenta.

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Paper provided by Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Historia Económica e Instituciones in its series Working Papers in Economic History with number dh030403.

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Date of creation: Feb 2003
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Handle: RePEc:cte:whrepe:dh030403

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  1. Bloom, David E & Williamson, Jeffrey G, 1998. "Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 419-55, September.
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  2. Roberto Cortés Conde, 1998. "Fiscal Crisis and Inflation in XIX Century Argentina," Working Papers 18, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, revised Nov 1998.
  3. Williamson, Jeffrey G., 1998. "Growth, Distribution, and Demography: Some Lessons from History," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 241-271, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Clague, Christopher, et al, 1999. " Contract-Intensive Money: Contract Enforcement, Property Rights, and Economic Performance," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 185-211, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Taylor, Alan M., 1992. "External Dependence, Demographic Burdens, and Argentine Economic Decline After the Belle ?poque," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(04), pages 907-936, December. [Downloadable!]
  6. North, Douglass C, 1991. "Institutions," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 5(1), pages 97-112, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Abramovitz, Moses, 1986. "Catching Up, Forging Ahead, and Falling Behind," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(02), pages 385-406, June. [Downloadable!]
  8. Douglas A. Irwin, 2002. "Did Import Substitution Promote Growth in the Late Nineteenth Century?," NBER Working Papers 8751, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Gerardo della Paolera and Alan M. Taylor., 1997. "Finance and Development in an Emerging Market: Argentina in the Interwar Period," Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers C97-089, University of California at Berkeley.
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