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Econometric reduction theory and philosophy

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  • Genaro Sucarrat

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Abstract

Econometric reduction theory provides a comprehensive probabilistic framework for the analysis and classification of the reductions (simplifications) associated with empirical econometric models. However, the available approaches to econometric reduction theory are unable to satisfactory accommodate a commonplace theory of social reality, namely that the course of history is indeterministic, that history does not repeat itself and that the future depends on the past. Using concepts from philosophy this paper proposes a solution to these shortcomings, which in addition permits new reductions, interpretations and definitions.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía in its series Economics Working Papers with number we091005.

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Date of creation: Feb 2009
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Handle: RePEc:cte:werepe:we091005

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Keywords: Theory of reduction; DGP; Possible worlds; Econometrics and philosophy;

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Cited by:
  1. BAUWENS, Luc & SUCARRAT, Genaro, . "General-to-specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: a forecast evaluation," CORE Discussion Papers RP, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) -2234, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  2. Kvamsdal, Sturla F., 2012. "Technological Change in Renewable Resource Industries: An Alternative Estimation Approach," Discussion Papers, Department of Business and Management Science, Norwegian School of Economics 2012/14, Department of Business and Management Science, Norwegian School of Economics.
  3. Sucarrat, Genaro, 2009. "Forecast Evaluation of Explanatory Models of Financial Variability," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 3(8), pages 1-33.

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