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A new class of distribution-free tests for time series models specification

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  • Delgado, Miguel A.
  • Velasco, Carlos

Abstract

The construction of asymptotically distribution free time series model specification tests using as statistics the estimated residual autocorrelations is considered from a general view point. We focus our attention on Box-Pierce type tests based on the sum of squares of a few estimated residual autocorrelations. This type of tests belongs to the class defined by quadratic forms of weighted residual autocorrelations, where weights are suitably transformed resulting in asymptotically distribution free tests. The weights can be optimally chosen to maximize the power function when testing in the direction of local alternatives. The optimal test in this class against MA, AR or Bloomfield alternatives is a Box-Pierce type test based on the sum of squares of a few transformed residual autocorrelations. Such transformations are, in fact, the recursive residuals in the projection of the residual autocorrelations on a certain score function.

Suggested Citation

  • Delgado, Miguel A. & Velasco, Carlos, 2007. "A new class of distribution-free tests for time series models specification," UC3M Working papers. Economics we078047, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
  • Handle: RePEc:cte:werepe:we078047
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    1. Delgado, Miguel A. & Hidalgo, Javier & Velasco, Carlos, 2005. "Distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for linear processes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6840, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Durbin, J, 1970. "Testing for Serial Correlation in Least-Squares Regression When Some of the Regressors are Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 410-421, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Escanciano, J. Carlos & Lobato, Ignacio N., 2009. "An automatic Portmanteau test for serial correlation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(2), pages 140-149, August.
    2. Zaichao Du, 2016. "Nonparametric bootstrap tests for independence of generalized errors," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 19(1), pages 55-83, February.

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