Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

Is Shutting Krugman's Liquidity Trap the Answer to Japan's Problems?

Contents:

Author Info

  • Dominic Wilson
Registered author(s):

    Abstract

    Paul Krugman has argued that the primary source of Japan’s current problems is that the economy faces a liquidity trap. According to Krugman, this has occurred because Japan confronts negative equilibrium real interest rates for a substantial period. To escape the trap, the Bank of Japan must generate inflationary expectations. This paper extends Krugman’s argument to consider the impact of demographic change on savings and investment and finds that Japan’s equilibrium real interest rate is unlikely to be negative for any considerable period. It argues instead that real forces, particularly productivity shocks and the problems of reallocating resources in their wake, are important contributors to Japan’s predicament. Consequently, simply generating inflation may not deliver sustained improvements in the macroeconomic situation. Successful reform, particularly to the banking sector, may be more important to a sustained recovery.

    Download Info

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
    File URL: https://crawford.anu.edu.au/pdf/pep/pep-297.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Australia-Japan Research Centre, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University in its series Asia Pacific Economic Papers with number 297.

    as in new window
    Length: 34 pages
    Date of creation: Nov 1999
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:csg:ajrcau:297

    Contact details of provider:
    Postal: Canberra ACT 0200
    Phone: (61-2) 6249 3780
    Fax: (61-2) 6249 3941
    Email:
    Web page: https://crawford.anu.edu.au/research_units/ajrc/
    More information through EDIRC

    Related research

    Keywords:

    Find related papers by JEL classification:

    References

    References listed on IDEAS
    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
    as in new window
    1. Jeffrey D. Sachs, 1981. "The Current Account and macroeconomic Adjustment in the 1970s," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 12(1), pages 201-282.
    2. Bee Yan Aw & Xiaomin Chen & Mark J. Roberts, 1997. "Firm-level Evidence on Productivity Differentials, Turnover, and Exports in Taiwanese Manufacturing," NBER Working Papers 6235, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Lists

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:csg:ajrcau:297. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Akira Kinefuchi).

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.