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Who is confronted to insecure labor market histories? Some evidence based on the French labor market transition

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Author Info

  • M. BEFFY

    (Direction de lÉvaluation,de la Prospective et de la Performance,Crest)

  • É. COUDIN

    (Insee)

  • R. RATHELOT

    (Insee)

Abstract

This paper presents some empirical evidence on the French labor market focusing on transitions between stable jobs, temporary work, unemployment and non-participation. The model used is based on a Markov chain mixture which allows to distinguish labor market histories that are confined to contingent work and non-employment from the non-confined ones. This enables us to identify, quantify and characterize (conditional on observable characteristics) the workers who never accede to stable jobs and remain stuck to temporary jobs and non-employment spells. We consider quarterly labor market transitions, observed from 2003 to 2006 in the Labor Force survey (LFS). We find that on the whole, about 5% of the working age population experience confined transition dynamics: they cannot access to stable jobs. Confined workers are less educated and are more likely to live in distressed areas.

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File URL: http://www.insee.fr/en/publications-et-services/docs_doc_travail/G2008-10.pdf
File Function: Document de travail de la DESE numéro G2008-10
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, DESE in its series Documents de Travail de la DESE - Working Papers of the DESE with number g2008-10.

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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:crs:wpdeee:g2008-10

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Related research

Keywords: labor market mobility; labor market transitions; mover-stayer models; Markov chains;

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