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Banks, Sovereign Risk and Unconventional Monetary Policies

Author

Listed:
  • Stéphane Auray

    (CREST-ENSAI)

  • Aurélien Eyquem

    (CREST-ENSAI)

  • Xiaofei Ma

    (CREST-ENSAI)

Abstract

We develop a two-country model with an explicitly microfounded interbank market and sovereign default risk. Calibrated to the Euro Area, the model performs satisfactorily in matching key business cycle facts on real, financial and fiscal time series. We then use the model to assess the effects of a large crisis and quantify the potential effects of alternative unconventional policies on the dynamics of GDP, sovereign default risk and public indebtedness. We show that quantitative monetary easing is more efficient in stimulating GDP, while qualitative monetary easing relieves financial tensions and sovereign risk more efficiently. In terms of welfare, in the short run, unconventional monetary policies bring sizable welfare gains for households, while the long term effects are much smaller

Suggested Citation

  • Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Xiaofei Ma, 2014. "Banks, Sovereign Risk and Unconventional Monetary Policies," Working Papers 2014-10, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    • Handle: RePEc:crs:wpaper:2014-10
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    3. Xinping Zhang & Yimeng Zhang & Yunchan Zhu, 2021. "COVID-19 Pandemic, Sustainability of Macroeconomy, and Choice of Monetary Policy Targets: A NK-DSGE Analysis Based on China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-20, March.
    4. Dallal Bendjellal, 2022. "Sovereign Risk, Financial Fragility and Debt Maturity," Working Papers hal-03792522, HAL.
    5. Luigi Marattin & Simone Meraglia & Raoul Minetti, 2022. "Sovereign bail‐outs and fiscal rules in a banking union," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 124(4), pages 1024-1055, October.
    6. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Müller, Georg & Papadopoulou, Niki, 2023. "Fiscal multipliers within the euro area in the context of sovereign risk and bank fragility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    7. Bi, Huixin & Traum, Nora, 2023. "Unconventional monetary policy and local fiscal policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    8. Benkhodja, Mohamed Tahar & Ma, Xiaofei & Razafindrabe, Tovonony, 2023. "Green monetary and fiscal policies: The role of consumer preferences," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    9. Funke, Michael & Terasa, Raphael, 2022. "Has Germany’s temporary VAT rates cut as part of the COVID-19 fiscal stimulus boosted growth?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 450-473.
    10. Philipp Kirchner & Benjamin Schwanebeck, 2020. "Shadow banking and the design of macroprudential policy in a monetary union," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202024, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    11. Michael Funke & Raphael Terasa, 2020. "Will Germany's Temporary VAT Tax Rates Cut as Part of the Covid-19 Fiscal Stimulus Package Boost Consumption and Growth?," CESifo Working Paper Series 8765, CESifo.
    12. Dallal Bendjellal, 2022. "Sovereign Risk, Financial Fragility and Debt Maturity," AMSE Working Papers 2222, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Recession; Interbank Market; Sovereign Default; Monetary Policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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