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Will Health Care Costs Erode Retirement Security?

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Author Info
Richard W. Johnson
Rudolph G. Penner
Abstract

Retirement security depends on both the income of the aged and their consumption needs. Several recent studies project that the Baby Boomers, who were born between 1946 and 1964 and are now approaching traditional retirement ages, will on average receive more income in later life than earlier generations of older Americans. But increases over time in consumption needs might offset these income gains. In particular, rising health care costs may threaten the Baby Boomers’ retirement security. This brief projects future income and out-of-pocket health care spending at older ages. If current policies continue, income after taxes and health care spending for the typical older married couple will be no higher in 2030 than it was in 2000 — despite 30 years of productivity growth. The increased health care burden will be particularly painful for those at the lower end of the income distribution who do not qualify for Medicaid...

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Center for Retirement Research in its series Issues in Brief with number ib2004-23.

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Length: 10 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2004
Date of revision: Oct 2004
Handle: RePEc:crr:issbrf:ib2004-23

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  1. Rudolph G. Penner & Richard W. Johnson, 2006. "Health Care Costs, Taxes, and the Retirement Decision: Conceptual Issues and Illustrative Simulations," Working Papers, Center for Retirement Research at Boston College wp2006-20, Center for Retirement Research, revised Nov 2006. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jonathan Skinner, 2007. "Are You Sure You're Saving Enough for Retirement?," NBER Working Papers 12981, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Richard W. Johnson, 2007. "What Happens to Health Benefits after Retirement," Work Opportunity Briefs wob_7, Center for Retirement Research, revised Feb 2007. [Downloadable!]
  4. Glenn Follette & Louise Sheiner, 2005. "The sustainability of health spending growth," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-60, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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