Measuring the Spillover to Disability Insurance Due to the Rise in the Full Retirement Age
AbstractThe increase in the full retirement age in the Social Security program provides exogenous variation in the generosity in the Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) program, based only on birth year. We exploit this variation to estimate how responsive SSDI applications are to the financial incentive to apply. We find that a 1-percentage-point decrease in the retirement-to-disability benefit ratio leads to a 0.25-percentage-point increase in the SSDI application rate for the sample, which represents an 8-percent increase in applications per two years. When weighted to account for sampling design, we estimate that this change in the financial incentive accounted for about 5 percent of the SSDI applications in 2009. However, we do not find a corresponding increase in SSDI receipt based on the financial incentives. In addition, we find little difference in the covariates for individuals who eventually receive SSDI, suggesting that the increase in applications may increase the administrative costs of the SSDI program, but should not have a dramatic impact on the long-term financial solvency of the program.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Center for Retirement Research in its series Working Papers, Center for Retirement Research at Boston College with number wp2010-20.
Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2010
Date of revision: Dec 2010
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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-AGE-2011-02-05 (Economics of Ageing)
- NEP-ALL-2011-02-05 (All new papers)
- NEP-HEA-2011-02-05 (Health Economics)
- NEP-IAS-2011-02-05 (Insurance Economics)
- NEP-LAB-2011-02-05 (Labour Economics)
- NEP-MIC-2011-02-05 (Microeconomics)
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- Kadir Atalay & Garry F. Barrett, 2012. "The Impact of Age Pension Eligibility Age on Retirement and Program Dependence: Evidence from an Australian Experiment," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers, McMaster University 295, McMaster University.
- Lex Borghans & Anne C. Gielen & Erzo F.P. Luttmer, 2012.
"Social Support Substitution and the Earnings Rebound: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity in Disability Insurance Reform,"
NBER Working Papers
18261, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Borghans, Lex & Gielen, Anne C. & Luttmer, Erzo F.P., 2010. "Social Support Substitution and the Earnings Rebound: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity in Disability Insurance Reform," IZA Discussion Papers 5412, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
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