Carolina Fugazza () (CeRP-Collegio Carlo Alberto, Turin) Massimo Guidolin () (Manchester Business School and CeRP-Collegio Carlo Alberto, Turin) Giovanna Nicodano () (University of Turin and CeRP-Collegio Carlo Alberto, Turin)
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We calculate the ex-post portfolio performance for an investor who diversifies among stocks, bonds, REITS and cash. Simulations are performed for two alternative asset allocation frameworks – classical and Bayesian - and for scenarios involving two different samples and six different investment horizons. Interestingly, the ex-post welfare cost of restricting portfolio choices to traditional financial assets only is found to be positive in all scenarios for a Bayesian investor. On the contrary, substitution of E-REITS for stocks in optimal portfolios turns out to reduce ex-post portfolio performance over the nineties for a Classical investor.
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Paper provided by Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin (Italy) in its series CeRP Working Papers with number
69.