Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard: Quantitative Implications for Unemployment Insurance
AbstractI construct a dynamic contracting model of optimal unemployment insurance with adverse selection and moral hazard that captures the transition from unemployment to non-participation observed in the data, which the standard moral hazard model fails to capture. My model generates both qualitative and quantitative implications for the optimal provision of unemployment insurance. Qualitatively, for some agents, incentives in the optimal contract imply consumption increases over the duration of non-employment. Quantitatively, I compare the current U.S. system to the optimal one, and find large cost savings to adopting the optimal contract. The optimal contract achieves an additional 46% of cost savings relative to a planner who ignores adverse selection and focuses only on moral hazard. I also find the current transition from unemployment to non-participation to be efficient, and when compared to the current U.S. system, the optimal contract implies agents experiencing a long spell of non-participation have consumption increasing over the spell.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Concordia University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 12004.
Length: 52 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2010
Date of revision: Sep 2011
unemployment insurance; non-participation; adverse selection; moral hazard; dynamic contracts;
Other versions of this item:
- David Fuller, 2008. "Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard: Quanitative Implications for Unemployment Insurance," 2008 Meeting Papers 889, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
- D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
- E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
- J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
- J65 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings
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