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Money Demand in Ireland, 1933-2012

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  • Gerlach, Stefan
  • Stuart, Rebecca

Abstract

Using annual data from several sources, we study the evolution of M1, M2, income, prices and long and short interest rates in Ireland over the period 1933-2012. We find cointegration and that prices, income and interest rates are weakly exogenous. While the estimates for M2 are stable and close to our priors, for M1 we obtain very low price elasticities, and a relatively high income elasticity, and detect parameter instability. We estimate a short-run M2 demand function that passes a number of diagnostic tests, although the standard errors of the regressions is large.

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  • Gerlach, Stefan & Stuart, Rebecca, 2014. "Money Demand in Ireland, 1933-2012," CEPR Discussion Papers 9962, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:9962
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    1. Sunil Sharma & Neil R. Ericsson, 1998. "Broad money demand and financial liberalization in Greece," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 417-436.
    2. Haug, Alfred A & Lucas, Robert F, 1996. "Long-Run Money Demand in Canada: In Search of Stability," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 78(2), pages 345-348, May.
    3. Ball, Laurence, 2001. "Another look at long-run money demand," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 31-44, February.
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    5. Fischer, Andreas M., 1990. "Cointegration and I(0) measurement error bias," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 255-259, November.
    6. Petra Gerlach-Kristen, 2001. "The Demand for Money in Switzerland 1936-1995," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 137(IV), pages 535-554, December.
    7. O'Rourke, K, 1997. "Monetary Data and Proxy GDP Estimates : Ireland 1840-1921," Papers 97/09, College Dublin, Department of Political Economy-.
    8. Cormac Ó Gráda, 2008. "The Irish Economy half a Century ago," Working Papers 200818, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    9. Kelly, John, 2003. "The Irish Pound: From Origins to EMU," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 89-115, March.
    10. Gerlach, Stefan & Stuart, Rebecca, 2014. "Money, Interest Rates and Prices in Ireland, 1933-2012," CEPR Discussion Papers 9961, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Hoffman, Dennis L. & Rasche, Robert H. & Tieslau, Margie A., 1995. "The stability of long-run money demand in five industrial countries," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 317-339, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gerlach, Stefan & Stuart, Rebecca, 2014. "Money, Interest Rates and Prices in Ireland, 1933-2012," CEPR Discussion Papers 9961, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Luca Onorante & Matija Lozej & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2017. "Countercyclical capital regulation in a small open economy DSGE model," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Data needs and Statistics compilation for macroprudential analysis, volume 46, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Gerlach, Stefan & Lydon, Reamonn & Stuart, Rebecca, 2014. "The Phillips Curve in Ireland: 1935 - 2012," CEPR Discussion Papers 10010, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Gerlach, Stefan. & Stuart, Rebecca, 2014. "Money, interest and prices in Ireland, 1933-2012," Research Technical Papers 07/RT/14, Central Bank of Ireland.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Historical statistics; Income; Ireland; Long time series; Money; Prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • N14 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Europe: 1913-

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