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The effects of global shocks on small commodity-exporting economies: New evidence from Canada

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  • Charnavoki, Valery
  • Dolado, Juan J.

Abstract

This paper presents a structural dynamic factor model of a small commodity-exporting economy using Canada as a representative case study. Combining large panel data sets of the global and Canadian economies, we first identify those demand and supply shocks that explain most of the volatility in real commodity prices. Next we quantify their dynamic effects on a wide variety of variables for this economy. We are able to reproduce all the main stylized facts documented in the literature about business cycles in these countries. This includes spending and Dutch disease effects which have proven difficult to find in models where the innovations to commodity prices are not properly identified. Our results are quite robust to different identification schemes of the shocks.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 8825.

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Date of creation: Feb 2012
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8825

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Related research

Keywords: business cycles; commodity exports; commodity prices; factor models; VARs;

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Cited by:
  1. Juan José Echavarría & Andrés gonzález & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 009884, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  2. Chen, Liang & Dolado, Juan Jose & Gonzalo, Jesus, 2011. "Detecting big structural breaks in large factor models," MPRA Paper 31344, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2013. "Boom or gloom? Examining the Dutch disease in a two-speed economy," Working Papers 0015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.

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