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Abstract

The focus of trade policy has shifted in recent years from economy-wide reductions in tariffs and trade restrictions towards targeted interventions to facilitate trade and promote exports. Most of these latter interventions are based on the new mantra of "aid-for-trade" rather than on hard evidence on what works and what doesn’t. On the one hand, rigorous impact-evaluation is needed to justify these interventions and to improve their design. On the other hand, rigorous evaluation is feasible because unlike traditional trade policy, these interventions tend to be targeted and so it is possible to construct treatment and control groups. When interventions are not targeted, such as in the case of customs reforms, some techniques, such as randomized control trials, may not be feasible but meaningful evaluation may still be possible. We discuss examples of impact evaluations using a range of methods (experimental and non-experimental) highlighting the particular issues and caveats arising in a trade context, and the valuable lessons that are already being learnt. We argue that systematically building impact evaluation into trade projects could lead to better policy design and a more credible case for "aid-for-trade."

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 8638.

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Date of creation: Nov 2011
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8638

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Related research

Keywords: aid for trade; export promotion; impact evaluation; propensity-score matching; randomized control trials; trade competitiveness; trade facilitation;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:

• C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Longitudinal Data; Spatial Time Series
• F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
• F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
• L15 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Information and Product Quality
• L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
• O24 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

• NEP-ALL-2011-11-14 (All new papers)
• NEP-INT-2011-11-14 (International Trade)

References

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