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Debt, Deficits and Destabilizing Monetary Policy in Open Economies

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  • Schabert, Andreas
  • van Wijnbergen, Sweder

Abstract

Blanchard (2005) suggested that active interest rate policy might induce unstable dynamics in highly-indebted economies. We examine this in a dynamic general equilibrium model where Calvo-type price rigidities provide a rationale for inflation stabilization. Unstable dynamics can occur when the CB is aggressively raising the interest rate in response to higher expected inflation. The constraint on stabilizing interest rate policy is tighter the higher the primary deficit and the more open the economy is. If the government cannot borrow from abroad in its own currency, stability requires interest rate policy to be accommodating (passive). Inflation stabilization is nevertheless feasible if the CB uses an instrument not associated with default risk, e.g. money supply.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 5590.

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Date of creation: Mar 2006
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5590

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Keywords: fiscal-monetary policy interactions; foreign debt; inflation targeting; policy implementation; sovereign default risk;

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Cited by:
  1. Sweder van Wijnbergen & Alexander France, 2012. "Assessing Debt Sustainability in a Stochastic Environment: 200 years of Dutch Debt and Deficit Management," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-011/2, Tinbergen Institute.

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