Idiosyncratic and Common Shocks to Investment Decisions
Abstract
This Paper shows how microeconomic data on investment plans can be used to study the structure of risk faced by firms. Revisions of investment plans form a martingale, and thus reveal the underlying shocks driving investment. We decompose revisions in investment plans into micro, sector and aggregate shocks, and exploit stock market data to distinguish between structural (value-related) shocks and measurement error in investment revisions. Using panel data for US firms, we find that micro shocks are not the dominant source of risk in investment decisions, and that much of the observed micro variation is actually due to heterogeneity in firm-level responses to aggregate shocks. Firms are able to diversify most idiosyncratic investment risk, and they do not appear to be liquidity-constrained.Download Info
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Bibliographic Info
Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 2982.Length:
Date of creation: Sep 2001
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2982
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Related research
Keywords: aggregate shocks; heterogeneity; investment; micro shocks;Find related papers by JEL classification:
- D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
- E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Paul A. de Hek, 2002.
"Endogenous Technological Change under Uncertainty,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
02-047/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 08 Nov 2002.
- Paul A. de Hek, 2003. "Endogenous Technological Change under Uncertainty," DEGIT Conference Papers c008_025, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
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