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The Evolution of Markets Under Entry and Standards Regulation - The Case of Global Mobile Telecommunications

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Author Info
Gruber, Harald
Verboven, Frank

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Abstract

We analyse the effects of government policies, such as entry regulation and standard setting, on the evolution of an industry, the global mobile telecommunications markets during 1981-1997. Among other results, we find that countries that issue first licenses at later dates converge rather slowly and only partially, compared to early-moving countries. We find that introducing competition has a strong immediate impact on the diffusion rate, but a rather weak impact afterwards. Sequential entry is preceded by pre-emptive behaviour. These findings are consistent with the presence of consumer switching costs. Concerning standards, we find that setting a standard has a significant positive impact on diffusion for the analogue technology, but not for the digital technology. This suggests that the network advantages from having a single standard are offset by the benefits derived from the battle for developing more efficient digital systems.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 2440.

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Date of creation: Apr 2000
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2440

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Related research
Keywords: Capacity Constraints; Consumer Switching Costs; entry regulation; Mobile Telecommunications; Network Externalities; Pre-Emption; Standards And Competing Systems; Technology Diffusion;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
L10 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - General
L86 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Information and Internet Services; Computer Software
O30 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - General

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Geroski, P. A., 2000. "Models of technology diffusion," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(4-5), pages 603-625, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Jerry A. Hausman, 1997. "Valuing the Effect of Regulation on New Services in Telecommunications," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 28(1997-1), pages 1-54. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Cadima, Nuno & Pita Barros, Pedro Luis, 2000. "The Impact of Mobile Phone Diffusion on the Fixed-Link Network," CEPR Discussion Papers 2598, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Sangwon Lee & Justin S. Brown, 2008. "The Diffusion of Fixed Broadband: An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 08-19, NET Institute, revised Sep 2008. [Downloadable!]
  3. Michal Grajek & Tobias Kretschmer, 2007. "Usage and Diffusion of Cellular Telephony, 1998-2004," ESMT Research Working Papers ESMT-07-003, ESMT European School of Management and Technology. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Anabela Botelho & Ligia Costa Pinto, 2000. "Has Portugal gone wireless? Looking back, Looking ahead," Working Papers 5, Núcleo de Investigação em Microeconomia Aplicada (NIMA), Universidade do Minho. [Downloadable!]
  5. James Prieger, 2008. "Product innovation, signaling, and endogenous regulatory delay," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 95-118, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Tomaso Duso, 2002. "On the Politics of the Regulatory Reform: Econometric Evidence from the OECD Countries," CIG Working Papers FS IV 02-07, Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin (WZB), Research Unit: Competition and Innovation (CIG). [Downloadable!]
  7. Philippe Gagnepain & Pedro Pereira, 2005. "Entry, Costs Reduction, and Competition in the Portuguese Telephony Industry," Working Papers 05, Portuguese Competition Authority. [Downloadable!]
  8. Gagnepain, Philippe & Pereira, Pedro, 2005. "Entry, Cost Reduction and Competition in The Portuguese Mobile Telephone Industry," CEPR Discussion Papers 4993, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Harald Gruber, 2002. "Endogenous Sunk Costs in the Market for Mobile Telecommunications - The Role of Licence Fees," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 33(1), pages 55-64. [Downloadable!]
  10. Jukka Liikanen & Paul Stoneman & Otto Toivanen, 2002. "Intergenerational Effects in the Diffusion of New Technology: Case of Mobile Phones," Discussion Papers 809, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy. [Downloadable!]
  11. Fink, Carsten & Mattoo, Aaditya & Rathindran, Randeep, 2002. "An assessment of telecommunications reform in developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2909, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  12. Otto Toivanen, 2004. "Choosing Standards," Discussion Papers 937, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy. [Downloadable!]
  13. Prieger, James, 2005. "Endogenous Regulatory Delay and the Timing of Product Innovation," Working Papers 05-4, University of California at Davis, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  14. Heli Koski & Tobias Kretschmer, 2002. "Entry, Standards and Competition : Firm Strategies and the Diffusion of Mobile Telephony," Discussion Papers 824, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  15. Gebreab, Frew Amare, 2002. "Getting connected : competition and diffusion in African mobile telecommunications markets," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2863, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  16. Andersson, Kjetil & Foros, Øystein & Steen, Frode, 2006. "Text and Voice: Complements, Substitutes or Both?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5780, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Pedro Pereira & José C. Pernías-Cerrillo, 2005. "The Diffusion of Cellular Telephony in Portugal before UMTS: A Time Series Approach," Working Papers 08, Portuguese Competition Authority. [Downloadable!]
  18. Tommaso Valletti, 2003. "Is Mobile Telephony a Natural Oligopoly?," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 47-65, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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