Convergence in Output in Transition Economies: Central and Eastern Europe, 1970-1995

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Convergence in Output in Transition Economies: Central and Eastern Europe, 1970-1995

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Estrin, Saul
Urga, Giovanni

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Giovanni Urga

Abstract

In this paper we use unit roots/cointegration analysis and time-varying parameters procedures to test for a common growth path in the ex-communist block, both pre- and post-reform. We test whether there has been convergence within the block and between the block as a group and the West. Surprisingly, there is little evidence of convergence within the communist block, which brings into question the effectiveness of policies to reduce differentials in income per capita across the region under the communists. There is also little evidence of convergence with respect to the West, for the 1970–90 period and when the early years of reform are included (1970–95).

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 1616.

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Date of creation: Apr 1997
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1616

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data
O40 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

Cited by:
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Wagner, Martin & Hlouskova, Jaroslava, 2001. "The CEEC10's Real Convergence Prospects," Transition Economics Series 20, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Hlouskova, Jaroslava & Wagner, Martin, 2002. "The CEEC10's Real Convergence Prospects," CEPR Discussion Papers 3318, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Joan Costa Font & Joan Batalla Bejerano, 1998. "Eastern European Countries and the EMU: departure situation and transition strategies," ERSA conference papers ersa98p192, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]

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