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Credit Provision and Stock Trading: Evidence from the South Sea Bubble

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Listed:
  • Braggion, Fabio
  • Frehen, Rik
  • Jerphanion, Emiel

Abstract

This paper studies the mechanism that relates credit provision to asset prices. On one extreme, cheap credit may reduce the cost of capital and increase prices without trading. On the other extreme, naive borrowers may unsuccessfully ride a bubble. We collect every stock transaction for three major British companies during the 1720 South Sea Bubble. We find that loan holders are more likely to buy (sell) following high (low) returns. Loan holders also subscribe to overvalued shares and incur large trading losses. Our results are driven by traders self-selecting into credit facilities and by credit changing the trading behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • Braggion, Fabio & Frehen, Rik & Jerphanion, Emiel, 2020. "Credit Provision and Stock Trading: Evidence from the South Sea Bubble," CEPR Discussion Papers 14532, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14532
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Chunbo & Niu, Zilong, 2023. "Leverage made at home: Investors' margin loan usage and firm leverage," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bubble; Credit provision; Margin loans; Investor behavior;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • N23 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Europe: Pre-1913

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