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A Dynamic Model of Banking with Uninsurable Risks and Regulatory Constraints

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  • Michaelides, Alexander
  • Mankart, Jochen
  • Pagratis, Spyros

Abstract

We estimate the structural parameters of a quantitative banking model featuring maturity transformation and endogenous failures in the presence of undiversifiable background risk and regulatory constraints. Pervasive balance sheet cross-sectional heterogeneity can be rationalized with idiosyncratic shocks and differential access to wholesale funding markets. Moreover, loans are highly procyclical, bank failures strongly countercyclical and increasing in leverage. Tightening capital requirements increases precautionary equity but results in higher failures because equity rises proportionately less than the capital ratio requirement change. The endogenous fall in the expected return on equity lowers the incentive to further increase precautionary equity.

Suggested Citation

  • Michaelides, Alexander & Mankart, Jochen & Pagratis, Spyros, 2014. "A Dynamic Model of Banking with Uninsurable Risks and Regulatory Constraints," CEPR Discussion Papers 10299, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:10299
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    Cited by:

    1. Brandtner, Mario, 2018. "Expected Shortfall, spectral risk measures, and the aggravating effect of background risk, or: risk vulnerability and the problem of subadditivity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 138-149.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank failures; Bank leverage; Capital requirements; Uninsurable risks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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