Two models of the discrepancies are presented: (a) unbiased reporting with inaccurate reporters having a large variance, and (b) biased reporting with inaccurate reporters having a large bias (either positive or negative). Estimation methods are least squares regression and maximum likelihood.

A numerical illustration is given, using data of the international trade in services. It is shown how to judge the two models empirically.

Research has been continued after the publication. See www.cpb.nl/eng/pub/cpbreeksen/memorandum/179">

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Modelling the reporting discrepancies in bilateral data

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Author Info
Arie ten Cate ()
Abstract

This paper is about the discrepancies in reported bilateral statistical data ("mirror data"). For example the trade from country A to country B is not reported the same in the two countries. The discrepancies are used to estimate the accuracy of the reporters. The estimated accuracies are to be used to compute optimal combinations of mirror data.

Two models of the discrepancies are presented: (a) unbiased reporting with inaccurate reporters having a large variance, and (b) biased reporting with inaccurate reporters having a large bias (either positive or negative). Estimation methods are least squares regression and maximum likelihood.

A numerical illustration is given, using data of the international trade in services. It is shown how to judge the two models empirically.

Research has been continued after the publication. See www.cpb.nl/eng/pub/cpbreeksen/memorandum/179

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Paper provided by CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis in its series CPB Memoranda with number 179.

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Date of creation: Apr 2007
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Handle: RePEc:cpb:memodm:179

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Related research
Keywords: discrepancies mirror mirror data bilateral international trade services GTAP GAMS

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Nico van Leeuwen & Arjan Lejour, 2006. "Bilateral Services Trade Data and the GTAP database," CPB Memoranda 160, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  2. Tsigas, Marinos E & Hertel, Thomas W & Binkley, James K, 1992. "Estimates of Systematic Reporting Biases in Trade Statistics," Economic Systems Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 297-310.
  3. Gehlhar, Mark, 1996. "Reconciling Bilateral Trade Data for Use in GTAP," GTAP Technical Papers 313, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University. [Downloadable!]
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