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Discrete time option pricing with flexible volatility estimation

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  • HARDLE, Wolfgang
  • HAFNER, Christian M.

Abstract

By extending the GARCH option pricing model of Duan (1995) to more flexible volatility estimation it is shown that the prices of out-of-the-money options strongly depend on volatility features such as asymmetry. Results are provided for the properties of the stationary pricing distribution in the case of a threshold GARCH model. For a stock index series with a pronounced leverage effect, simulated threshold GARCH option prices are substantially closer to observed market prices than the Black/Scholes and simulated GARCH prices.
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  • HARDLE, Wolfgang & HAFNER, Christian M., 2000. "Discrete time option pricing with flexible volatility estimation," LIDAM Reprints CORE 1439, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  • Handle: RePEc:cor:louvrp:1439
    DOI: 10.1007/s007800050011
    Note: In : Finance and Stochastics, 4, 189-207, 2000
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    Cited by:

    1. Anna Pajor, 2009. "Bayesian Analysis of the Box-Cox Transformation in Stochastic Volatility Models," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 9, pages 81-90.
    2. Babsiri, Mohamed El & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2001. "Contemporaneous asymmetry in GARCH processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 257-294, April.
    3. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2002. "Which Volatility Model for Option Valuation?," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-33, CIRANO.
    4. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2004. "Which GARCH Model for Option Valuation?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1204-1221, September.
    5. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs & Chayawat Ornthanalai, 2012. "GARCH Option Valuation: Theory and Evidence," CREATES Research Papers 2012-50, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    6. Thorsten Lehnert & Gildas Blanchard & Dennis Bams, 2014. "Evaluating Option Pricing Model Performance Using Model Uncertainty," LSF Research Working Paper Series 14-06, Luxembourg School of Finance, University of Luxembourg.
    7. Duan, Jin-Chuan & Wei, Jason, 2005. "Executive stock options and incentive effects due to systematic risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1185-1211, May.
    8. Karanasos, Menelaos & Kim, Jinki, 2006. "A re-examination of the asymmetric power ARCH model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 113-128, January.
    9. Jacobi, Frank, 2005. "ARCH-Prozesse und ihre Erweiterungen - Eine empirische Untersuchung für Finanzmarktzeitreihen -," Arbeitspapiere des Instituts für Statistik und Ökonometrie 31, Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, Institut für Statistik und Ökonometrie.
    10. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Francesco, 2020. "Pricing individual stock options using both stock and market index information," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    11. Lars Stentoft, 2011. "What we can learn from pricing 139,879 Individual Stock Options," CREATES Research Papers 2011-52, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    12. Härdle, Wolfgang & Sperlich, Stefan, 1997. "Financial calculations on the net," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1997,42, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    13. Matthias R. Fengler & Alexander Melnikov, 2018. "GARCH option pricing models with Meixner innovations," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 277-305, October.
    14. Ignacio Mauleon & Javier Perote, 2000. "Testing densities with financial data: an empirical comparison of the Edgeworth-Sargan density to the Student's t," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(2), pages 225-239.
    15. Papantonis, Ioannis, 2016. "Volatility risk premium implications of GARCH option pricing models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 104-115.
    16. Radovan Parrák, 2013. "The Economic Valuation of Variance Forecasts: An Artificial Option Market Approach," Working Papers IES 2013/09, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Aug 2013.
    17. Lars Stentoft, 2008. "American Option Pricing Using GARCH Models and the Normal Inverse Gaussian Distribution," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 6(4), pages 540-582, Fall.
    18. Badescu, Alexandru M. & Kulperger, Reg J., 2008. "GARCH option pricing: A semiparametric approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 69-84, August.
    19. Hafner, Christian M. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2001. "Option pricing under linear autoregressive dynamics, heteroskedasticity, and conditional leptokurtosis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 1-34, March.
    20. Jin-Chuan Duan & Peter H. Ritchken & Zhiqiang Sun, 2006. "Jump starting GARCH: pricing and hedging options with jumps in returns and volatilities," Working Papers (Old Series) 0619, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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