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Analysing the Economic Impacts of a Plant Disease Incursion Using a General Equilibrium Approach

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Author Info
Glyn Wittwer
Simon McKirdy
Ryan Wilson

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Abstract

This study uses a dynamic multi-regional computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to estimate the micro- and macroeconomic effects of a hypothetical disease outbreak. The extent of the incursion, the impact of the disease on plant yields, the response of buyers, the costs of eradication and the time path of the scenario contribute to outcomes at the industry, regional, state and national levels. We also decompose the contribution of these individual direct effects to the overall impact of the disease. This may provide some guidance as to areas for priority in attempting to eradicate or minimise the impacts of a disease.

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File URL: http://www.monash.edu.au/policy/ftp/workpapr/op-97.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Monash University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre in its series Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers with number op-97.

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Date of creation: Sep 2003
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Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:op-97

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Q16 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - R&D; Agricultural Technology; Agricultural Extension Services
R13 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies

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  1. Anderson, Kym & James, Sarah, 1998. "On the Need for More Economic Assessment of Quarantine/SPS Policies," CEPR Discussion Papers 1934, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Naqvi, Farzana & Peter, Matthew W, 1996. "A Multiregional, Multisectoral Model of the Australian Economy with an Illustrative Application," Australian Economic Papers, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(66), pages 94-113, June.
  3. Xueyan Zhao & Kym Anderson & Glyn Wittwer, 2003. "Who gains from Australian generic wine promotion and R&D?," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society and Blackwell Publishing Asia Pty Ltd., vol. 47(2), pages 181-209, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Philip D. Adams & Mark Horridge & Glyn Wittwer, 2003. "MMRF-GREEN: A Dynamic Multi-Regional Applied General Equilibrium Model of the Australian Economy, Based on the MMR and MONASH Models," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-140, Monash University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre. [Downloadable!]
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