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Applied General Equilibrium Modelling and Labour Market Forecasting

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Author Info
G.A. Meagher
P.D. Adams
J.M. Horridge

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Abstract

This paper describes the application of the MONASH CGE model to labour market forecasting in Australia. The method consists of solving a top-down sequence of models that proceeds from a macro scenario to the CGE model to various labour market extensions. The extensions involve ex post processing of the MONASH results based on employment data from the census and a number of large sample surveys. Their purpose is to greatly increase the amount of information furnished by the simulations at modest additional cost, and hence to support the use of the system for analysing the efficient allocation of training resources.

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File URL: http://www.monash.edu.au/policy/ftp/workpapr/ip-76.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Monash University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre in its series Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers with number ip-76.

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Date of creation: Oct 2000
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Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:ip-76

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Web page: http://www.monash.edu.au/policy/index.htm
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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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  1. Polo, C. & sancho, F., 1990. "Insights or Forecasting? An Evaluation of a Simple CGE Model of Spain," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 141.90, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
  2. Adams, Philip D. & Dixon, Peter B. & McDonald, Daina & Meagher, G. A. & Parmenter, Brian R., 1994. "Forecasts for the Australian economy using the MONASH model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 557-571, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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