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Estimación de la curva de Phillips para Colombia, periodo mensual 2001 - 2007

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  • Nelson Eduardo Barreto

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  • Mauricio Caicedo
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    Abstract

    Este artículo describe y analiza las relaciones existentes entre el desempleo y la inflación y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana, a través de la estimación de la curva de Phillips para el período mensual 2001-2007, mediante la evaluación por mínimos cuadrados de una función lineal con un término Autorregresivo (AR(1)).Los resultados obtenidos concuerdan con una curva de Phillips de pendiente positiva aparentemente contraria a la teoría económica tradicional, pero a la vez congruente con la teoría Austríaca del ciclo económico. De acuerdo a lo arrojado por el análisis econométrico y estadístico, si la tasa de desempleo aumenta en 1%, la inflación hará lo propio en 7.79%.

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    File URL: http://dotec-colombia.org/files/curva_de_phillips.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS LLANOS in its series DOCUMENTOS DE INVESTIGACIÓN with number 008212.

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    Length: 17
    Date of creation: 27 Feb 2011
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:col:000421:008212

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    Related research

    Keywords: Desempleo; Inflación; curva de Phillips; Política monetaria; Política Fiscal; Teoría del ciclo económico; pendiente positiva.;

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    1. Enrique López E & Martha Misas A, 1998. "Un Examen Empírico De La Curva De Phillips En Colombia," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE.
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