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Inestabilidad institucional, evidencia para Colombia: la violencia y el crecimiento económico en el periodo 1950-2010

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  • Álvaro Hurtado Rendón

    ()

  • Luis Alfredo Molina

    ()

Abstract

La incertidumbre bajo periodos de inestabilidad institucional, traducida en violencia, puede destruir las dotaciones de capital físico y humano de la economía y, desestimular la inversión. En este trabajo se analiza el impacto de largo plazo de la violencia en el crecimiento económico de Colombia, en el período 1950-2010. La evidencia econométrica apoya la existencia de una relación negativa entre la violencia, medida por la tasa de homicidios, y el crecimiento económico. Los resultados sugieren que se debe realizar un esfuerzo institucional concertado para mejorar la inversión en educación y seguridad con el fin de acelerar el crecimiento.

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File URL: http://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstream/10784/540/1/2012-11%20Alvaro%20Hurtado.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by UNIVERSIDAD EAFIT in its series DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO CIEF with number 010572.

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Length: 32
Date of creation: 14 Oct 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000122:010572

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Related research

Keywords: Cointegración; Violencia; Capital Humano; Crecimiento Económico;

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  1. Eduardo Borensztein & Jose De Gregorio & Jong-Wha Lee, 1995. "How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth?," NBER Working Papers 5057, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  3. Alexander Cotte Poveda, 2006. "Crecimiento económico y distribución del ingreso en Colombia: evidencia sobre el capital humano y el nivel de educación," SERIE DE DOCUMENTOS EN ECONOMÍA Y VIOLENCIA 002221, CENTRO DE INVESTIGACIONES EN VIOLENCIA, INSTITUCIONES Y DESARROLLO ECONÓMICO (VIDE).
  4. Thorvaldur Gylfason & Gylfi Zoega, 2003. "Education, Social Equality and Economic Growth: A View of the Landscape," CESifo Working Paper Series 876, CESifo Group Munich.
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  8. Marcel Hofstetter, 1998. "La violencia en los modelos de crecimiento económico," REVISTA DE ECONOMÍA DEL ROSARIO, UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO.
  9. Boscá, José Emilio & Escribá, Javier & Murgui, María José, 2000. "The Effect Of Public Infrastructures On The Private Productive Sector Of Spanish Regions," ERSA conference papers ersa00p165, European Regional Science Association.
  10. Gonzalo, Jesus, 1994. "Five alternative methods of estimating long-run equilibrium relationships," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 203-233.
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