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Sobre el efecto de las regalías en el bienestar: Una revisión del periodo 2001-2011

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  • Javier Andrés ROJAS AGUILERA

Abstract

Durante la primera década del siglo XXI, Colombia recibió cerca de $32 billones de pesos en regalías como consecuencia de una mayor dinámica en la explotación del sector minero-energético. La literatura que ha indagado por el efecto de estos recursos se ha concentrado en el crecimiento del PIB y el recaudo tributario, ignorando las consecuencias que estas contraprestaciones tuvieron en el bienestar material de las entidades que las recibieron. Para identificar este efecto se estudian las interrelaciones del NBI con las regalías en el ano 2005 y posteriormente, haciendo uso de proxies de bienestar se amplía el periodo para incluir los anos 2001 a 2011. Se encuentra que las regalías directas no beneficiaron a las poblaciones que las recibieron, y que el efecto de las asignaciones indirectas fue positivo pero modesto. Al considerar los resultados de largo plazo se llega a que las regalías directas tuvieron un efecto negativo o cercano a cero dependiendo de la especificación estadística empleada, mientras que las indirectas resultaron relevantes en la dinámica de desarrollo local.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Andrés ROJAS AGUILERA, 2014. "Sobre el efecto de las regalías en el bienestar: Una revisión del periodo 2001-2011," Archivos de Economía 11789, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000118:011789
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Regalías; NBI; Desarrollo Local;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I3 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

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